FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for J2 League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

J2 League

Albirex Niigata badge Albirex Niigata
VS

Final result2–1

Denka Big Swan Stadium

Match Finished

Sagan Tosu badge Sagan Tosu
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Albirex Niigata or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Albirex NiigataProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Sagan TosuProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Albirex Niigata
Betting advice
Double chance : Albirex Niigata or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAlbirex NiigataSagan Tosu
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence41.0%59.0%
Poisson86.0%14.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total58.0%42.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Albirex Niigata

Recent form (last 5): W D W D L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Sagan Tosu

Recent form (last 5): L L L W W

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Albirex Niigata 3–4 Sagan Tosu (06 Jul 2024)
  2. Sagan Tosu 1–2 Albirex Niigata (24 Feb 2024)
  3. Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu (21 Oct 2023)
  4. Sagan Tosu 2–0 Albirex Niigata (20 May 2023)
  5. Albirex Niigata 1–0 Sagan Tosu (29 Oct 2017)
  6. Sagan Tosu 3–0 Albirex Niigata (08 Apr 2017)
  7. Sagan Tosu 2–2 Albirex Niigata (15 Mar 2017)
  8. Sagan Tosu 1–0 Albirex Niigata (27 Aug 2016)
  9. Albirex Niigata 1–0 Sagan Tosu (25 Jun 2016)
  10. Albirex Niigata 1–0 Sagan Tosu (27 Mar 2016)

Albirex Niigata recent matches

Scores below are shown as Albirex Niigata goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Oita TrinitaAway1–5Lost
11 Oct 2026Shonan BellmareAway1–1Draw
03 Oct 2026Tokushima VortisHome2–1Won
29 Sep 2026Matsumoto YamagaAway0–1Lost
26 Sep 2026Blaublitz AkitaAway2–2Draw
Albirex Niigata detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Albirex Niigata performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home5
Wins away1
Wins total6
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away3
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses away5-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Albirex Niigata goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away7
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage6.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away16
Goals against total19
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away2.70
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.53%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.05%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.32%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Sagan Tosu recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sagan Tosu goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Omiya ArdijaHome2–1Won
14 Oct 2026Avispa FukuokaHome2–1Won
10 Oct 2026Fujieda MYFCHome1–0Won
04 Oct 2026Blaublitz AkitaAway0–1Lost
29 Sep 2026Tokyo VerdyHome2–1Won
Sagan Tosu detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sagan Tosu performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home4
Wins away0
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Sagan Tosu goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away2
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.40
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away6
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage38.46%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Albirex Niigata predictions and analysis, Sagan Tosu match tips, or more J2 League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.