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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Albirex Niigata Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for J-League Cup, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

J-League Cup

Matsumoto Yamaga badge Matsumoto Yamaga
VS

Final result1–0

Sunpro Alwin

Match Finished

Albirex Niigata badge Albirex Niigata
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Albirex Niigata and +2.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Matsumoto YamagaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Albirex NiigataProbability
GOALS MARKET+2.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Albirex Niigata
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Albirex Niigata and +2.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMatsumoto YamagaAlbirex Niigata
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson38.0%62.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total38.3%61.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Matsumoto Yamaga

Recent form (last 5): D

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Albirex Niigata

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Matsumoto Yamaga 0–2 Albirex Niigata (09 Apr 2025)
  2. Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Albirex Niigata (07 Nov 2021)
  3. Albirex Niigata 0–0 Matsumoto Yamaga (09 May 2021)
  4. Matsumoto Yamaga 3–1 Albirex Niigata (06 Dec 2020)
  5. Albirex Niigata 1–0 Matsumoto Yamaga (11 Jul 2020)
  6. Matsumoto Yamaga 2–0 Albirex Niigata (07 Jul 2018)
  7. Albirex Niigata 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga (03 Mar 2018)
  8. Albirex Niigata 2–0 Matsumoto Yamaga (17 Oct 2015)
  9. Matsumoto Yamaga 0–3 Albirex Niigata (03 Jun 2015)
  10. Matsumoto Yamaga 1–2 Albirex Niigata (02 May 2015)

Matsumoto Yamaga recent matches

Scores below are shown as Matsumoto Yamaga goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026Tochigi SCAway2–1Won
18 Sep 2026Roasso KumamotoAway0–0Draw
13 Sep 2026SagamiharaHome1–3Lost
09 Sep 2026Shonan BellmareHome3–3Draw
05 Sep 2026OsakaHome0–0Draw
Matsumoto Yamaga detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Matsumoto Yamaga performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total5

Matsumoto Yamaga goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away0
Goals for total3
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 106-120 · total4
Goals for minute · 106-120 · percentage57.14%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away0
Goals against total3
Goals against average home3.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total3.00
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 106-120 · total3
Goals against minute · 106-120 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Albirex Niigata recent matches

Scores below are shown as Albirex Niigata goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026Blaublitz AkitaAway2–2Draw
19 Sep 2026Jubilo IwataHome2–1Won
13 Sep 2026Montedio YamagataHome1–0Won
06 Sep 2026Yokohama FCAway0–5Lost
02 Sep 2026Thespakusatsu GunmaAway2–1Won
Albirex Niigata detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Albirex Niigata performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Albirex Niigata goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away2
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +2.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Matsumoto Yamaga predictions and analysis, Albirex Niigata match tips, or more J-League Cup predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.