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Sarnese vs Paganese Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie D - Girone G, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie D - Girone G

Sarnese badge Sarnese
VS

Final result2–1

Match Finished

Paganese badge Paganese
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Paganese and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
SarneseProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
PaganeseProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Paganese
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Paganese and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSarnesePaganese
Form52.0%48.0%
Attack41.0%59.0%
Defence58.0%42.0%
Poisson42.0%58.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total43.7%56.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Sarnese

Recent form (last 5): W D W W D

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Paganese

Recent form (last 5): W W D W L

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sarnese 1–1 Paganese (22 Feb 2026)
  2. Paganese 2–1 Sarnese (19 Oct 2025)
  3. Sarnese 1–0 Paganese (13 Apr 2025)
  4. Paganese 1–0 Sarnese (01 Dec 2024)
  5. Sarnese 1–2 Paganese (01 Sep 2024)

Sarnese recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sarnese goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026OsseseAway2–2Draw
20 Sep 2026GelbisonHome3–1Won
16 Sep 2026VenafroAway1–0Won
12 Sep 2026AfragoleseAway1–1Draw
06 Sep 2026BudoniHome2–1Won
Sarnese detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sarnese performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total5
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Sarnese goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away4
Goals for total9
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away3
Goals against total5
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage60.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Paganese recent matches

Scores below are shown as Paganese goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026GelbisonHome2–3Lost
20 Sep 2026TrastevereAway6–1Won
16 Sep 2026AfragoleseHome0–0Draw
12 Sep 2026Latte DolceAway3–2Won
06 Sep 2026UnipomeziaHome2–1Won
Paganese detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Paganese performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total5
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-6
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away6
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Paganese goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away9
Goals for total13
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away4.50
Goals for average total2.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage30.77%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage30.77%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage7.69%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away3
Goals against total7
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sarnese predictions and analysis, Paganese match tips, or more Serie D - Girone G predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.