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Pavia vs Varesina Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie D - Girone D, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie D - Girone D

Pavia badge Pavia
VS

Final result2–2

Match Finished

Varesina badge Varesina
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Pavia or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
PaviaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
VaresinaProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Pavia
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Pavia or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPaviaVaresina
Form67.0%33.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence73.0%27.0%
Poisson64.0%36.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total56.2%43.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Pavia

Recent form (last 5): D D D D L

Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.

Varesina

Recent form (last 5): D L L L D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Pavia 1–1 Varesina (01 Mar 2026)
  2. Varesina 2–2 Pavia (26 Oct 2025)

Pavia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Pavia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
07 Oct 2026Sant'AngeloHome1–3Lost
04 Oct 2026CorreggeseAway1–2Lost
27 Sep 2026ArconateseHome1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026Sant'AngeloAway0–0Draw
16 Sep 2026SolbiateseHome0–0Draw
Pavia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Pavia performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total5
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home3
Draws away1
Draws total4
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Pavia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away1
Goals for total2
Goals for average home0.30
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.40
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away2
Goals against total3
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Varesina recent matches

Scores below are shown as Varesina goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Sep 2026USD CasateseAway2–4Lost
20 Sep 2026PistoieseHome0–1Lost
16 Sep 2026CorreggeseAway1–2Lost
13 Sep 2026Sant'AngeloAway1–1Draw
06 Sep 2026Cittadella Vis ModenaHome3–2Won
Varesina detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Varesina performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Varesina goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away4
Goals for total7
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away7
Goals against total10
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Pavia predictions and analysis, Varesina match tips, or more Serie D - Girone D predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.