FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

Sassuolo badge Sassuolo
VS

Final result2–4

Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore

Match Finished

Fiorentina badge Fiorentina
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Fiorentina and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
SassuoloProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
FiorentinaProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Fiorentina
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Fiorentina and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSassuoloFiorentina
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total44.8%55.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Sassuolo

Recent form (last 5): L D L L L

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Fiorentina

Recent form (last 5): D L L L D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo (26 Apr 2026)
  2. Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina (06 Dec 2025)
  3. Fiorentina 5–1 Sassuolo (28 Apr 2024)
  4. Sassuolo 1–0 Fiorentina (06 Jan 2024)
  5. Sassuolo 1–3 Fiorentina (02 Jun 2023)
  6. Fiorentina 2–1 Sassuolo (07 Jan 2023)
  7. Sassuolo 2–1 Fiorentina (26 Feb 2022)
  8. Fiorentina 2–2 Sassuolo (19 Dec 2021)
  9. Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina (17 Apr 2021)
  10. Fiorentina 1–1 Sassuolo (16 Dec 2020)

Sassuolo recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sassuolo goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Oct 2026LazioHome2–6Lost
24 Oct 2026ComoAway0–2Lost
16 Oct 2026FrosinoneAway2–4Lost
11 Oct 2026AC MilanHome1–1Draw
18 Sep 2026MonzaAway1–2Lost
Sassuolo detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sassuolo performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away4
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest losses home2-6
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home6
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Sassuolo goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away6
Goals for total14
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.77%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away12
Goals against total22
Goals against average home2.50
Goals against average away2.40
Goals against average total2.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.74%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.04%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage4.35%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage30.43%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.39%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage13.04%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Fiorentina recent matches

Scores below are shown as Fiorentina goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29 Oct 2026AtalantaHome2–2Draw
25 Oct 2026InterAway1–2Lost
18 Oct 2026ComoHome1–3Lost
10 Oct 2026GenoaAway1–2Lost
20 Sep 2026NapoliHome1–1Draw
Fiorentina detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Fiorentina performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away3
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins away2-4
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Fiorentina goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away6
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away10
Goals against total21
Goals against average home2.20
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage13.64%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage22.73%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sassuolo predictions and analysis, Fiorentina match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.