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AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Serie A, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Serie A

AC Milan badge AC Milan
VS

Final result3–2

San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza

Match Finished

Atalanta badge Atalanta
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : AC Milan or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
AC MilanProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
AtalantaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
AC Milan
Betting advice
Double chance : AC Milan or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAC MilanAtalanta
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence64.0%36.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H15.0%85.0%
Goals38.0%62.0%
Total47.4%52.6%

Team form and goal analysis

AC Milan

Recent form (last 5): W D D W D

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Atalanta

Recent form (last 5): W L L L W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta (10 May 2026)
  2. Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan (28 Oct 2025)
  3. AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta (20 Apr 2025)
  4. Atalanta 2–1 AC Milan (06 Dec 2024)
  5. AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta (25 Feb 2024)
  6. AC Milan 1–2 Atalanta (10 Jan 2024)
  7. Atalanta 3–2 AC Milan (09 Dec 2023)
  8. AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta (26 Feb 2023)
  9. Atalanta 1–1 AC Milan (21 Aug 2022)
  10. AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta (15 May 2022)

AC Milan recent matches

Scores below are shown as AC Milan goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15 Oct 2026Red Bull SalzburgAway4–0Won
11 Oct 2026SassuoloAway1–1Draw
20 Sep 2026LecceHome3–0Won
16 Sep 2026BenficaHome0–2Lost
12 Sep 2026LazioAway2–2Draw
AC Milan detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

AC Milan performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total6
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away3
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

AC Milan goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away6
Goals for total11
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage90.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away5
Goals against total5
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Atalanta recent matches

Scores below are shown as Atalanta goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15 Oct 2026PafosHome3–1Won
12 Oct 2026VeneziaHome3–1Won
20 Sep 2026JuventusAway0–2Lost
12 Sep 2026CagliariHome1–2Lost
05 Sep 2026AS RomaAway1–2Lost
Atalanta detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Atalanta performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total6
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Atalanta goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away1
Goals for total8
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away4
Goals against total8
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore AC Milan predictions and analysis, Atalanta match tips, or more Serie A predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.