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Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier Division, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier Division

Derry City badge Derry City
VS

Final result1–0

Brandywell Stadium

Match Finished

St Patrick's Athl. badge St Patrick's Athl.
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or St Patrick's Athl.Selection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Derry CityProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
St Patrick's Athl.Probability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
St Patrick's Athl.
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or St Patrick's Athl.

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDerry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence17.0%83.0%
Poisson47.0%53.0%
H2H64.0%36.0%
Goals57.0%43.0%
Total46.3%53.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Derry City

Recent form (last 5): L D W D W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

St Patrick's Athl.

Recent form (last 5): W L W W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Derry City (02 Aug 2026)
  2. Derry City 0–0 St Patrick's Athl. (22 May 2026)
  3. St Patrick's Athl. 0–0 Derry City (16 Mar 2026)
  4. Derry City 2–2 St Patrick's Athl. (29 Aug 2025)
  5. St Patrick's Athl. 0–1 Derry City (23 Jun 2025)
  6. Derry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athl. (05 May 2025)
  7. St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Derry City (03 Mar 2025)
  8. St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Derry City (25 Oct 2024)
  9. Derry City 3–0 St Patrick's Athl. (21 Jul 2024)
  10. St Patrick's Athl. 0–1 Derry City (17 May 2024)

Derry City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derry City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Sep 2026Galway UnitedHome1–0Won
14 Sep 2026WaterfordAway2–2Draw
11 Sep 2026ShelbourneAway1–0Won
06 Sep 2026DundalkHome4–2Won
30 Aug 2026Shamrock RoversHome3–3Draw
Derry City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derry City performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home7
Wins away2
Wins total9
Draws home6
Draws away8
Draws total14
Losses home3
Losses away6
Losses total9
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away5-3
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home6
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total9
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Derry City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home27
Goals for total away18
Goals for total45
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.87%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.22%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.22%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.26%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under18
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away23
Goals against total42
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.40
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage4.88%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage21.95%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage7.32%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage26.83%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.63%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.39%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over23
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under31

St Patrick's Athl. recent matches

Scores below are shown as St Patrick's Athl. goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026Sligo RoversAway1–0Won
14 Sep 2026DundalkAway4–0Won
11 Sep 2026Shamrock RoversHome2–0Won
05 Sep 2026BohemiansHome1–1Draw
28 Aug 2026WaterfordHome0–2Lost
St Patrick's Athl. detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

St Patrick's Athl. performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home10
Wins away7
Wins total17
Draws home3
Draws away5
Draws total8
Losses home3
Losses away4
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away6
Clean sheet total13
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away6
Failed to score total10
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total4

St Patrick's Athl. goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home31
Goals for total away21
Goals for total52
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.31%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.31%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.46%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.15%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over22
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over16
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under23
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under32
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away15
Goals against total25
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away0.90
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage24.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage4.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage4.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage28.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over19
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under26
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under32

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Derry City predictions and analysis, St Patrick's Athl. match tips, or more Premier Division predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.