FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Derry City vs Dundalk Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier Division, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier Division

Derry City badge Derry City
VS

Final result2–1

Brandywell Stadium

Match Finished

Dundalk badge Dundalk
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Derry City or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Derry CityProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
DundalkProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Derry City
Betting advice
Double chance : Derry City or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDerry CityDundalk
Form83.0%17.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence73.0%27.0%
Poisson59.0%41.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total64.2%35.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Derry City

Recent form (last 5): W D W L W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Dundalk

Recent form (last 5): D L L L D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Derry City 4–2 Dundalk (06 Sep 2026)
  2. Dundalk 2–1 Derry City (29 May 2026)
  3. Dundalk 2–2 Derry City (10 Apr 2026)
  4. Derry City 2–2 Dundalk (13 Feb 2026)
  5. Dundalk 0–2 Derry City (18 Oct 2024)
  6. Derry City 1–1 Dundalk (09 Aug 2024)
  7. Dundalk 0–0 Derry City (31 May 2024)
  8. Derry City 4–1 Dundalk (05 Apr 2024)
  9. Dundalk 1–3 Derry City (01 Sep 2023)
  10. Derry City 3–0 Dundalk (15 May 2023)

Derry City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derry City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Oct 2026St Patrick's Athl.Home1–0Won
16 Oct 2026Drogheda UnitedAway0–2Lost
10 Oct 2026Galway UnitedAway2–0Won
18 Sep 2026Galway UnitedHome1–0Won
14 Sep 2026WaterfordAway2–2Draw
Derry City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derry City performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total34
Wins home8
Wins away2
Wins total10
Draws home6
Draws away8
Draws total14
Losses home3
Losses away7
Losses total10
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home2-4
Biggest losses away5-3
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home7
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total10
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total8
Penalty scored total4
Penalty scored percentage80.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage20.00%
Penalty total5

Derry City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away18
Goals for total46
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.64%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.89%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.77%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.89%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.15%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.66%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under34
Goals against total home19
Goals against total away25
Goals against total44
Goals against average home1.10
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage6.98%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.93%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.98%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.58%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.95%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total11
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.58%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over24
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under31
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under33

Dundalk recent matches

Scores below are shown as Dundalk goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Sligo RoversAway1–1Draw
02 Oct 2026BohemiansHome1–2Lost
18 Sep 2026ShelbourneHome2–3Lost
14 Sep 2026St Patrick's Athl.Home0–4Lost
11 Sep 2026WaterfordAway1–1Draw
Dundalk detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Dundalk performance

Fixtures played home17
Fixtures played away17
Fixtures played total34
Wins home6
Wins away4
Wins total10
Draws home3
Draws away9
Draws total12
Losses home8
Losses away4
Losses total12
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total5

Dundalk goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home26
Goals for total away25
Goals for total51
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.02%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total11
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage23.40%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.64%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage6.38%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage4.26%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total18
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage38.30%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over31
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over14
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under33
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under33
Goals against total home27
Goals against total away29
Goals against total56
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total8
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total11
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total14
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over29
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over18
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under16
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under32
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under34

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Derry City predictions and analysis, Dundalk match tips, or more Premier Division predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.