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Derry City vs Waterford Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for FAI Cup, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

FAI Cup

Derry City badge Derry City
VS

Aviva Stadium

Waterford badge Waterford
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or WaterfordSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Derry CityProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
WaterfordProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Waterford
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Waterford

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDerry CityWaterford
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson0.0%100.0%
H2H62.0%38.0%
Goals52.0%48.0%
Total51.8%48.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Derry City

Recent form (last 5): W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.80 per match.

Waterford

Recent form (last 5): W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Waterford 2–2 Derry City (14 Sep 2026)
  2. Derry City 2–4 Waterford (03 Jul 2026)
  3. Waterford 2–2 Derry City (15 May 2026)
  4. Derry City 4–2 Waterford (27 Feb 2026)
  5. Waterford 1–2 Derry City (17 Oct 2025)
  6. Derry City 7–2 Waterford (04 Jul 2025)
  7. Waterford 2–1 Derry City (25 Apr 2025)
  8. Derry City 1–2 Waterford (28 Feb 2025)
  9. Waterford 0–1 Derry City (23 Aug 2024)
  10. Derry City 3–0 Waterford (03 Jun 2024)

Derry City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derry City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Oct 2026Sligo RoversAway2–2Draw
23 Oct 2026DundalkHome2–1Won
19 Oct 2026St Patrick's Athl.Home1–0Won
16 Oct 2026Drogheda UnitedAway0–2Lost
10 Oct 2026Galway UnitedAway2–0Won
Derry City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derry City performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Derry City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away4
Goals for total11
Goals for average home3.50
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away1
Goals against total3
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Waterford recent matches

Scores below are shown as Waterford goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Oct 2026ShelbourneAway3–2Won
23 Oct 2026Drogheda UnitedHome3–1Won
19 Oct 2026Galway UnitedHome3–2Won
16 Oct 2026BohemiansAway1–2Lost
09 Oct 2026BohemiansAway2–0Won
Waterford detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Waterford performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total4
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Waterford goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away2
Goals for total9
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away0
Goals against total2
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Derry City predictions and analysis, Waterford match tips, or more FAI Cup predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.