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Erbil vs Ghaz Al Shamal Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Iraqi League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Iraqi League

Erbil badge Erbil
VS

Final result1–1

Franso Hariri Stadium

Match Finished

Ghaz Al Shamal badge Ghaz Al Shamal
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Erbil or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
ErbilProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Ghaz Al ShamalProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Erbil
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Erbil or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorErbilGhaz Al Shamal
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence25.0%75.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total50.3%49.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Erbil

Recent form (last 5): L W D L L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Ghaz Al Shamal

Recent form (last 5): D D L W W

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Erbil recent matches

Scores below are shown as Erbil goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22 Oct 2026ZakhoAway1–2Lost
18 Oct 2026MosulHome0–1Lost
14 Oct 2026AjmanAway4–5Lost
08 Oct 2026Naft MaysanAway1–1Draw
18 Sep 2026KarbalaAway3–0Won
Erbil detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Erbil performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Erbil goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away6
Goals for total14
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage7.14%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away3
Goals against total7
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away0.60
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage42.86%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Ghaz Al Shamal recent matches

Scores below are shown as Ghaz Al Shamal goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Naft MaysanHome1–0Won
18 Oct 2026Al Zawra'aHome1–0Won
10 Oct 2026Al Minaa BasraAway0–2Lost
19 Sep 2026NewrozHome0–0Draw
12 Sep 2026Al ShortaAway0–0Draw
Ghaz Al Shamal detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Ghaz Al Shamal performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Ghaz Al Shamal goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away3
Goals for total6
Goals for average home0.60
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away5
Goals against total7
Goals against average home0.40
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Erbil predictions and analysis, Ghaz Al Shamal match tips, or more Iraqi League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.