Erlbach vs TuS Geretsried Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Oberliga - Bayern Süd, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Oberliga - Bayern Süd

VS

Final result3–1

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Erlbach or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
ErlbachProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
TuS GeretsriedProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Erlbach
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Erlbach or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorErlbachTuS Geretsried
Form89.0%11.0%
Attack83.0%17.0%
Defence83.0%17.0%
Poisson88.0%12.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total73.8%26.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Erlbach

Recent form (last 5): L W W D D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

TuS Geretsried

Recent form (last 5): L L L D L

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Erlbach 1–2 TuS Geretsried (10 Apr 2026)
  2. TuS Geretsried 1–2 Erlbach (27 Sep 2025)

Erlbach recent matches

Scores below are shown as Erlbach goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Sep 2026PipinsriedHome1–1Draw
18 Sep 20261860 München IIAway1–0Won
11 Sep 2026KotternHome3–0Won
04 Sep 20261860 RosenheimAway0–1Lost
28 Aug 2026IsmaningHome2–0Won
Erlbach detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Erlbach performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total13
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total8
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Erlbach goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away4
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away0.60
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away4
Goals against total6
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away0.60
Goals against average total0.50
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

TuS Geretsried recent matches

Scores below are shown as TuS Geretsried goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 20261880 WasserburgHome0–3Lost
12 Sep 2026DeisenhofenAway0–4Lost
05 Sep 2026LandshutHome0–1Lost
28 Aug 2026Hankofen-HailingAway0–1Lost
22 Aug 2026PfaffenhofenHome2–3Lost
TuS Geretsried detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

TuS Geretsried performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home5
Losses away3
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses home0-5
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home4
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

TuS Geretsried goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away7
Goals for total12
Goals for average home0.70
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away12
Goals against total27
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total2.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Erlbach predictions and analysis, TuS Geretsried match tips, or more Oberliga - Bayern Süd predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.