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FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Bundesliga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 badge FSV Mainz 05
VS

Final result2–3

MEWA Arena

Match Finished

Werder Bremen badge Werder Bremen
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Werder Bremen and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
FSV Mainz 05Probability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Werder BremenProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Werder Bremen
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Werder Bremen and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFSV Mainz 05Werder Bremen
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack56.0%44.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson38.0%62.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total43.5%56.5%

Team form and goal analysis

FSV Mainz 05

Recent form (last 5): W L W L W

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Werder Bremen

Recent form (last 5): W D W D D

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Werder Bremen 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 (15 Mar 2026)
  2. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Werder Bremen (01 Nov 2025)
  3. Werder Bremen 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 (31 Jan 2025)
  4. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Werder Bremen (15 Sep 2024)
  5. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Werder Bremen (03 Feb 2024)
  6. Werder Bremen 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 (02 Sep 2023)
  7. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Werder Bremen (08 Apr 2023)
  8. Werder Bremen 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 (15 Oct 2022)
  9. Werder Bremen 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 (21 Apr 2021)
  10. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Werder Bremen (19 Dec 2020)

FSV Mainz 05 recent matches

Scores below are shown as FSV Mainz 05 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026FC Schalke 04Away1–0Won
10 Oct 2026Bayer LeverkusenHome3–4Lost
19 Sep 2026Borussia MönchengladbachAway4–3Won
12 Sep 2026Eintracht FrankfurtHome1–3Lost
06 Sep 2026Hamburger SVAway5–0Won
FSV Mainz 05 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FSV Mainz 05 performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home0
Wins away3
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

FSV Mainz 05 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away10
Goals for total14
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away3.30
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage42.86%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away3
Goals against total10
Goals against average home2.30
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Werder Bremen recent matches

Scores below are shown as Werder Bremen goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026SC Paderborn 07Home2–2Draw
09 Oct 2026Borussia DortmundAway2–2Draw
02 Oct 2026TwenteAway0–7Lost
19 Sep 2026FC AugsburgHome3–2Won
12 Sep 20261. FC KölnAway1–1Draw
Werder Bremen detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Werder Bremen performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Werder Bremen goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away4
Goals for total12
Goals for average home2.70
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away7
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore FSV Mainz 05 predictions and analysis, Werder Bremen match tips, or more Bundesliga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.