FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Bundesliga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Bundesliga

VS

MEWA Arena

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 0%
0%
HOME WIN
FSV Mainz 05Probability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
50%
AWAY WIN
Bayern MünchenProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Bayern München
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFSV Mainz 05Bayern München
Form35.0%65.0%
Attack35.0%65.0%
Defence30.0%70.0%
Poisson18.0%82.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total30.0%70.0%

Team form and goal analysis

FSV Mainz 05

Recent form (last 5): W L W L L

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Bayern München

Recent form (last 5): W D W W D

Average goals scored: 3.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayern München (25 Apr 2026)
  2. Bayern München 2–2 FSV Mainz 05 (14 Dec 2025)
  3. Bayern München 3–0 FSV Mainz 05 (26 Apr 2025)
  4. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Bayern München (14 Dec 2024)
  5. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 Bayern München (30 Oct 2024)
  6. Bayern München 8–1 FSV Mainz 05 (09 Mar 2024)
  7. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Bayern München (21 Oct 2023)
  8. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Bayern München (22 Apr 2023)
  9. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 Bayern München (01 Feb 2023)
  10. Bayern München 6–2 FSV Mainz 05 (29 Oct 2022)

FSV Mainz 05 recent matches

Scores below are shown as FSV Mainz 05 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30 Oct 2026SV ElversbergAway1–4Lost
27 Oct 2026VfL BochumAway0–2Lost
24 Oct 2026Werder BremenHome2–3Lost
17 Oct 2026FC Schalke 04Away1–0Won
10 Oct 2026Bayer LeverkusenHome3–4Lost
FSV Mainz 05 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FSV Mainz 05 performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home0
Wins away3
Wins total3
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home3
Losses away1
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

FSV Mainz 05 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away11
Goals for total17
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away2.80
Goals for average total2.10
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage29.41%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage11.76%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away7
Goals against total17
Goals against average home2.50
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total2.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage35.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.53%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage5.88%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage5.88%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Bayern München recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bayern München goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026Atletico MadridAway2–0Won
31 Oct 2026Borussia DortmundHome2–2Draw
28 Oct 20261. FC MagdeburgHome6–1Won
25 Oct 2026SC FreiburgAway3–1Won
21 Oct 2026ArsenalHome2–2Draw
Bayern München detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bayern München performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home7-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Bayern München goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home20
Goals for total away7
Goals for total27
Goals for average home5.00
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total3.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage3.70%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage3.70%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away4
Goals against total8
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage37.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore FSV Mainz 05 predictions and analysis, Bayern München match tips, or more Bundesliga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.