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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Bundesliga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 badge FSV Mainz 05
VS

Final result3–4

MEWA Arena

Match Finished

Bayer Leverkusen badge Bayer Leverkusen
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Bayer LeverkusenSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
FSV Mainz 05Probability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Bayer LeverkusenProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Bayer Leverkusen
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFSV Mainz 05Bayer Leverkusen
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson20.0%80.0%
H2H15.0%85.0%
Goals41.0%59.0%
Total36.8%63.2%

Team form and goal analysis

FSV Mainz 05

Recent form (last 5): D W L W

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Bayer Leverkusen

Recent form (last 5): L W D W

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 FSV Mainz 05 (28 Feb 2026)
  2. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen (18 Oct 2025)
  3. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen (17 May 2025)
  4. Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 (14 Jan 2025)
  5. Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 FSV Mainz 05 (23 Feb 2024)
  6. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen (30 Sep 2023)
  7. Bayer Leverkusen 2–3 FSV Mainz 05 (19 Feb 2023)
  8. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer Leverkusen (27 Aug 2022)
  9. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 Bayer Leverkusen (18 Feb 2022)
  10. Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 (25 Sep 2021)

FSV Mainz 05 recent matches

Scores below are shown as FSV Mainz 05 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026Borussia MönchengladbachAway4–3Won
12 Sep 2026Eintracht FrankfurtHome1–3Lost
06 Sep 2026Hamburger SVAway5–0Won
29 Aug 2026SC Paderborn 07Home0–0Draw
23 Aug 2026KrieschowAway9–0Won
FSV Mainz 05 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FSV Mainz 05 performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home0
Wins away2
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

FSV Mainz 05 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home1
Goals for total away9
Goals for total10
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away4.50
Goals for average total2.50
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage50.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away3
Goals against total6
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Bayer Leverkusen recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bayer Leverkusen goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026RB LeipzigHome2–0Won
16 Sep 2026CeljeHome2–0Won
12 Sep 2026FC AugsburgAway2–2Draw
05 Sep 2026Union BerlinHome4–0Won
29 Aug 2026SV ElversbergAway2–3Lost
Bayer Leverkusen detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bayer Leverkusen performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Bayer Leverkusen goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away4
Goals for total10
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away5
Goals against total5
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage60.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore FSV Mainz 05 predictions and analysis, Bayer Leverkusen match tips, or more Bundesliga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.