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Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Bundesliga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Bundesliga

Bayern München badge Bayern München
VS

Final result6–1

Allianz Arena

Match Finished

RB Leipzig badge RB Leipzig
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
Bayern MünchenProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
RB LeipzigProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Bayern München
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack52.0%48.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson97.0%3.0%
H2H93.0%7.0%
Goals79.0%21.0%
Total72.0%28.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Bayern München

Recent form (last 5): W D W W D

Average goals scored: 3.20 per match.

RB Leipzig

Recent form (last 5): W L W L W

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bayern München 3–1 RB Leipzig (15 Aug 2026)
  2. Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig (11 Feb 2026)
  3. RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern München (17 Jan 2026)
  4. Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig (22 Aug 2025)
  5. RB Leipzig 3–3 Bayern München (03 May 2025)
  6. Bayern München 5–1 RB Leipzig (20 Dec 2024)
  7. Bayern München 2–1 RB Leipzig (24 Feb 2024)
  8. RB Leipzig 2–2 Bayern München (30 Sep 2023)
  9. Bayern München 0–3 RB Leipzig (12 Aug 2023)
  10. Bayern München 1–3 RB Leipzig (20 May 2023)

Bayern München recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bayern München goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13 Oct 2026VikingAway3–3Draw
10 Oct 2026FC AugsburgAway2–2Draw
18 Sep 2026Union BerlinHome7–0Won
13 Sep 2026SV ElversbergAway2–1Won
10 Sep 2026Bodo/GlimtHome5–0Won
Bayern München detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bayern München performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total5
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home7-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Bayern München goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home12
Goals for total away4
Goals for total16
Goals for average home6.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total3.20
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away3
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage40.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

RB Leipzig recent matches

Scores below are shown as RB Leipzig goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13 Oct 2026PSV EindhovenHome1–0Won
10 Oct 2026Eintracht FrankfurtHome6–0Won
20 Sep 2026Bayer LeverkusenAway0–2Lost
13 Sep 2026Hamburger SVHome5–0Won
10 Sep 2026ComoAway1–4Lost
RB Leipzig detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

RB Leipzig performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total5
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

RB Leipzig goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away1
Goals for total15
Goals for average home4.70
Goals for average away0.50
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away5
Goals against total5
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Bayern München predictions and analysis, RB Leipzig match tips, or more Bundesliga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.