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Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Bundesliga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Bundesliga

Bayern München badge Bayern München
VS

Final result2–2

Allianz Arena

Match Finished

Borussia Dortmund badge Borussia Dortmund
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Bayern München or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Bayern MünchenProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Borussia DortmundProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Bayern München
Betting advice
Double chance : Bayern München or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack74.0%26.0%
Defence29.0%71.0%
Poisson74.0%26.0%
H2H85.0%15.0%
Goals59.0%41.0%
Total62.5%37.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Bayern München

Recent form (last 5): W W D W W

Average goals scored: 3.60 per match.

Borussia Dortmund

Recent form (last 5): W W D D W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Borussia Dortmund 1–2 Bayern München (22 Aug 2026)
  2. Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayern München (28 Feb 2026)
  3. Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund (18 Oct 2025)
  4. Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund (12 Apr 2025)
  5. Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Bayern München (30 Nov 2024)
  6. Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund (30 Mar 2024)
  7. Borussia Dortmund 0–4 Bayern München (04 Nov 2023)
  8. Bayern München 4–2 Borussia Dortmund (01 Apr 2023)
  9. Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Bayern München (08 Oct 2022)
  10. Bayern München 3–1 Borussia Dortmund (23 Apr 2022)

Bayern München recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bayern München goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28 Oct 20261. FC MagdeburgHome6–1Won
25 Oct 2026SC FreiburgAway3–1Won
21 Oct 2026ArsenalHome2–2Draw
17 Oct 2026RB LeipzigHome6–1Won
13 Oct 2026VikingAway3–3Draw
Bayern München detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bayern München performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home7-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Bayern München goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home18
Goals for total away7
Goals for total25
Goals for average home6.00
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total3.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage4.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away4
Goals against total6
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Borussia Dortmund recent matches

Scores below are shown as Borussia Dortmund goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Oct 2026Werder BremenHome3–2Won
24 Oct 2026Eintracht FrankfurtHome1–0Won
20 Oct 2026Sabah FAAway2–1Won
17 Oct 2026Union BerlinAway0–0Draw
14 Oct 2026Bodo/GlimtAway0–1Lost
Borussia Dortmund detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Borussia Dortmund performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Borussia Dortmund goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away4
Goals for total12
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage45.45%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away2
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away0.70
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage60.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Bayern München predictions and analysis, Borussia Dortmund match tips, or more Bundesliga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.