FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for 3. Liga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

3. Liga

VS

Final result2–1

Audi Sportpark

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : MSV Duisburg and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 10%
10%
HOME WIN
FC Ingolstadt 04Probability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
MSV DuisburgProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
MSV Duisburg
Betting advice
Combo Winner : MSV Duisburg and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorFC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
Form32.0%68.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson22.0%78.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals70.0%30.0%
Total45.3%54.7%

Team form and goal analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04

Recent form (last 5): L L L W W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

MSV Duisburg

Recent form (last 5): W W W W D

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. FC Ingolstadt 04 0–0 MSV Duisburg (04 Mar 2026)
  2. MSV Duisburg 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04 (27 Sep 2025)
  3. FC Ingolstadt 04 2–0 MSV Duisburg (20 Apr 2024)
  4. MSV Duisburg 1–2 FC Ingolstadt 04 (11 Nov 2023)
  5. FC Ingolstadt 04 2–0 MSV Duisburg (12 May 2023)
  6. MSV Duisburg 0–1 FC Ingolstadt 04 (12 Nov 2022)
  7. MSV Duisburg 1–5 FC Ingolstadt 04 (15 May 2021)
  8. FC Ingolstadt 04 2–1 MSV Duisburg (10 Jan 2021)
  9. MSV Duisburg 1–1 FC Ingolstadt 04 (25 Jan 2020)
  10. FC Ingolstadt 04 3–2 MSV Duisburg (27 Jul 2019)

FC Ingolstadt 04 recent matches

Scores below are shown as FC Ingolstadt 04 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Rot-Weiß EssenHome1–0Won
14 Oct 2026Waldhof MannheimAway3–0Won
11 Oct 2026SV WehenHome2–4Lost
02 Oct 20261. FC NürnbergAway1–3Lost
19 Sep 2026FC Viktoria KölnAway0–3Lost
FC Ingolstadt 04 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

FC Ingolstadt 04 performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home1
Wins away3
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away1
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

FC Ingolstadt 04 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away7
Goals for total13
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away4
Goals against total15
Goals against average home2.20
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage29.41%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

MSV Duisburg recent matches

Scores below are shown as MSV Duisburg goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026FC Viktoria KölnHome1–1Draw
13 Oct 2026FC SaarbrückenAway4–2Won
10 Oct 2026Hoffenheim IIHome3–2Won
20 Sep 2026SV WehenAway4–1Won
15 Sep 2026HavelseHome2–1Won
MSV Duisburg detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

MSV Duisburg performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

MSV Duisburg goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home12
Goals for total away15
Goals for total27
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total2.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.52%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage7.41%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.52%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away8
Goals against total12
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore FC Ingolstadt 04 predictions and analysis, MSV Duisburg match tips, or more 3. Liga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.