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Concarneau vs Bastia Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Ligue 3, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Ligue 3

Concarneau badge Concarneau
VS

Final result1–1

Stade Guy Piriou

Match Finished

Bastia badge Bastia
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Bastia and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
ConcarneauProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
BastiaProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Bastia
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Bastia and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorConcarneauBastia
Form69.0%31.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence55.0%45.0%
Poisson30.0%70.0%
H2H36.0%64.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total50.8%49.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Concarneau

Recent form (last 5): D W W D W

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Bastia

Recent form (last 5): L W D L D

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bastia 2–0 Concarneau (23 Apr 2024)
  2. Concarneau 0–0 Bastia (05 Aug 2023)
  3. Bastia 1–1 Concarneau (05 Mar 2021)
  4. Concarneau 1–1 Bastia (02 Oct 2020)
  5. Bastia 4–4 Concarneau (05 Jan 2019)

Concarneau recent matches

Scores below are shown as Concarneau goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026GobelinsHome2–1Won
26 Sep 2026Bourg-en-bresse 01Away1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026CaenHome2–0Won
12 Sep 2026AubagneAway2–1Won
05 Sep 2026Thionville LusitanosHome2–2Draw
Concarneau detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Concarneau performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Concarneau goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away4
Goals for total12
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away3
Goals against total8
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage62.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Bastia recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bastia goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
01 Oct 2026OrleansHome1–1Draw
26 Sep 2026GobelinsAway0–1Lost
17 Sep 2026CannesHome1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026Bourg-en-bresse 01Away1–0Won
05 Sep 2026AmiensHome0–3Lost
Bastia detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bastia performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home0
Wins away3
Wins total3
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away1
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Bastia goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away3
Goals for total7
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away1
Goals against total11
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away0.30
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Concarneau predictions and analysis, Bastia match tips, or more Ligue 3 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.