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Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Ligue 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Ligue 1

Marseille badge Marseille
VS

Final result2–0

Orange Vélodrome

Match Finished

Toulouse badge Toulouse
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Marseille or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
MarseilleProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
ToulouseProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Marseille
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Marseille or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMarseilleToulouse
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack55.0%45.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson43.0%57.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total53.3%46.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Marseille

Recent form (last 5): L L W W W

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Toulouse

Recent form (last 5): D W D W D

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Toulouse 0–1 Marseille (07 Mar 2026)
  2. Marseille 2–2 Toulouse (04 Mar 2026)
  3. Marseille 2–2 Toulouse (29 Nov 2025)
  4. Marseille 3–2 Toulouse (06 Apr 2025)
  5. Toulouse 1–3 Marseille (31 Aug 2024)
  6. Toulouse 2–2 Marseille (21 Apr 2024)
  7. Marseille 0–0 Toulouse (17 Sep 2023)
  8. Toulouse 2–3 Marseille (19 Feb 2023)
  9. Marseille 6–1 Toulouse (29 Dec 2022)
  10. Marseille 1–0 Toulouse (08 Feb 2020)

Marseille recent matches

Scores below are shown as Marseille goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026Le HavreHome4–3Won
22 Oct 2026Sturm GrazAway0–1Lost
18 Oct 2026AngersAway5–2Won
15 Oct 2026Olympiakos PiraeusHome0–1Lost
11 Oct 2026Estac TroyesAway2–0Won
Marseille detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Marseille performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Marseille goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away7
Goals for total18
Goals for average home2.80
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away5
Goals against total13
Goals against average home2.00
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.77%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Toulouse recent matches

Scores below are shown as Toulouse goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026Estac TroyesHome0–0Draw
16 Oct 2026Le MansAway3–0Won
10 Oct 2026MonacoAway2–2Draw
03 Oct 2026PAUHome2–3Lost
19 Sep 2026Le HavreHome3–2Won
Toulouse detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Toulouse performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home2
Losses away0
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Toulouse goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away9
Goals for total12
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away2.30
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage58.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away6
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Marseille predictions and analysis, Toulouse match tips, or more Ligue 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.