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Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Ligue 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Ligue 1

Marseille badge Marseille
VS

Final result4–3

Orange Vélodrome

Match Finished

Le Havre badge Le Havre
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : MarseilleSelection confidence: 45%
45%
HOME WIN
MarseilleProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Le HavreProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Marseille
Betting advice
Winner : Marseille

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMarseilleLe Havre
Form86.0%14.0%
Attack71.0%29.0%
Defence53.0%47.0%
Poisson67.0%33.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals77.0%23.0%
Total70.8%29.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Marseille

Recent form (last 5): L L L W W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Le Havre

Recent form (last 5): L D L L L

Average goals scored: 0.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Le Havre 0–1 Marseille (10 May 2026)
  2. Marseille 6–2 Le Havre (18 Oct 2025)
  3. Le Havre 1–3 Marseille (10 May 2025)
  4. Marseille 5–1 Le Havre (05 Jan 2025)
  5. Le Havre 1–2 Marseille (19 May 2024)
  6. Marseille 3–0 Le Havre (08 Oct 2023)
  7. Marseille 3–1 Le Havre (22 Jan 2012)

Marseille recent matches

Scores below are shown as Marseille goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22 Oct 2026Sturm GrazAway0–1Lost
18 Oct 2026AngersAway5–2Won
15 Oct 2026Olympiakos PiraeusHome0–1Lost
11 Oct 2026Estac TroyesAway2–0Won
20 Sep 2026Paris Saint GermainHome1–2Lost
Marseille detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Marseille performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Marseille goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away7
Goals for total14
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.71%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away5
Goals against total10
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage30.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage10.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Le Havre recent matches

Scores below are shown as Le Havre goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026AuxerreHome1–3Lost
10 Oct 2026LilleAway0–1Lost
02 Oct 2026BoulogneHome6–1Won
19 Sep 2026ToulouseAway2–3Lost
12 Sep 2026AngersHome0–0Draw
Le Havre detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Le Havre performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Le Havre goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home2
Goals for total away3
Goals for total5
Goals for average home0.50
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.70
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage60.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage40.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away5
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Marseille predictions and analysis, Le Havre match tips, or more Ligue 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.