FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Lens vs Marseille Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Ligue 1, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Ligue 1

Lens badge Lens
VS

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Marseille badge Marseille
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or MarseilleSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
LensProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
MarseilleProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Marseille
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Marseille

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLensMarseille
Form43.0%57.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson50.0%50.0%
H2H40.0%60.0%
Goals40.0%60.0%
Total43.8%56.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Lens

Recent form (last 5): L W W W L

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Marseille

Recent form (last 5): L W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Marseille 3–1 Lens (24 Jan 2026)
  2. Lens 2–1 Marseille (25 Oct 2025)
  3. Marseille 0–1 Lens (08 Mar 2025)
  4. Lens 1–3 Marseille (23 Nov 2024)
  5. Marseille 2–1 Lens (28 Apr 2024)
  6. Lens 1–0 Marseille (12 Nov 2023)
  7. Lens 2–1 Marseille (06 May 2023)
  8. Marseille 0–1 Lens (22 Oct 2022)
  9. Lens 0–2 Marseille (22 Jan 2022)
  10. Marseille 2–3 Lens (26 Sep 2021)

Lens recent matches

Scores below are shown as Lens goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Nov 2026ComoHome1–9Lost
30 Oct 2026LilleAway0–1Lost
24 Oct 2026Paris FCHome2–1Won
21 Oct 2026Club Brugge KVAway0–3Lost
17 Oct 2026Estac TroyesAway3–1Won
Lens detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Lens performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Lens goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away7
Goals for total16
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away1.40
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away8
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage23.08%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Marseille recent matches

Scores below are shown as Marseille goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
05 Nov 2026Bayer LeverkusenAway1–0Won
01 Nov 2026ToulouseHome2–0Won
25 Oct 2026Le HavreHome4–3Won
22 Oct 2026Sturm GrazAway0–1Lost
18 Oct 2026AngersAway5–2Won
Marseille detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Marseille performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away2-5
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage66.67%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage33.33%
Penalty total3

Marseille goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away7
Goals for total20
Goals for average home2.60
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total2.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away5
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.69%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.77%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Lens predictions and analysis, Marseille match tips, or more Ligue 1 predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.