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Nõmme United vs Vaprus Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Meistriliiga, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Meistriliiga

Nõmme United badge Nõmme United
VS

Final result4–2

Match Finished

Vaprus badge Vaprus
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Nõmme United or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Nõmme UnitedProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
VaprusProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Nõmme United
Betting advice
Double chance : Nõmme United or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNõmme UnitedVaprus
Form60.0%40.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence48.0%52.0%
Poisson64.0%36.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total55.3%44.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Nõmme United

Recent form (last 5): L L L L W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Vaprus

Recent form (last 5): L L D D L

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vaprus 1–0 Nõmme United (05 Sep 2026)
  2. Nõmme United 3–2 Vaprus (02 Sep 2026)
  3. Vaprus 2–3 Nõmme United (02 May 2026)
  4. Nõmme United 7–1 Vaprus (14 Mar 2026)
  5. Vaprus 7–0 Nõmme United (12 Feb 2025)
  6. Nõmme United 0–2 Vaprus (19 Oct 2024)
  7. Vaprus 2–0 Nõmme United (13 Jul 2024)
  8. Nõmme United 2–1 Vaprus (31 May 2024)
  9. Vaprus 2–1 Nõmme United (26 Apr 2024)
  10. Vaprus 4–1 Nõmme United (25 Nov 2020)

Nõmme United recent matches

Scores below are shown as Nõmme United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Kalju NommeHome3–0Won
13 Oct 2026LaagriAway0–2Lost
10 Oct 2026TammekaAway0–4Lost
19 Sep 2026PaideHome1–3Lost
12 Sep 2026Flora TallinnHome2–3Lost
Nõmme United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Nõmme United performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home5
Wins away5
Wins total10
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home11
Losses away10
Losses total21
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses6
Biggest wins home7-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away7-1
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away7
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total5
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total5

Nõmme United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home32
Goals for total away18
Goals for total50
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.10
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total9
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total8
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total13
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under19
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under26
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under30
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under30
Goals against total home33
Goals against total away41
Goals against total74
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away2.60
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total8
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.81%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total16
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage21.62%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total12
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.22%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total11
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.86%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total9
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.16%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total18
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage24.32%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over31
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under19
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under27
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Vaprus recent matches

Scores below are shown as Vaprus goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Oct 2026LaagriAway0–2Lost
13 Oct 2026Kalju NommeHome2–2Draw
10 Oct 2026Trans NarvaHome2–2Draw
20 Sep 2026Flora TallinnAway2–3Lost
16 Sep 2026PaideAway0–2Lost
Vaprus detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Vaprus performance

Fixtures played home16
Fixtures played away16
Fixtures played total32
Wins home7
Wins away3
Wins total10
Draws home4
Draws away2
Draws total6
Losses home5
Losses away11
Losses total16
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-6
Biggest losses away7-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home6
Biggest goals against away7
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away5
Failed to score total7
Penalty scored total8
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total8

Vaprus goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home28
Goals for total away15
Goals for total43
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away0.90
Goals for average total1.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.63%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.93%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total8
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.60%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total8
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.60%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage16.28%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.95%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over25
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under20
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under28
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under31
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under31
Goals against total home26
Goals against total away37
Goals against total63
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total9
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total9
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total9
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total14
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total12
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total10
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.87%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over26
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over21
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under24
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under29
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under30

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Nõmme United predictions and analysis, Vaprus match tips, or more Meistriliiga predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.