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Middlesbrough U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League 2 Division One, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Premier League 2 Division One

Middlesbrough U21 badge Middlesbrough U21
VS

Heritage Park

Derby County U21 badge Derby County U21
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Derby County U21 and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 10%
10%
HOME WIN
Middlesbrough U21Probability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Derby County U21Probability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Derby County U21
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Derby County U21 and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMiddlesbrough U21Derby County U21
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack41.0%59.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2H75.0%25.0%
Goals75.0%25.0%
Total50.8%49.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Middlesbrough U21

Recent form (last 5): L D D L L

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Derby County U21

Recent form (last 5): D L L W L

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Derby County U21 1–0 Middlesbrough U21 (20 Mar 2026)
  2. Middlesbrough U21 1–0 Derby County U21 (05 Nov 2023)
  3. Derby County U21 1–5 Middlesbrough U21 (24 Mar 2023)
  4. Middlesbrough U21 3–1 Derby County U21 (12 Aug 2022)

Middlesbrough U21 recent matches

Scores below are shown as Middlesbrough U21 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026Valencia U21Home3–2Won
25 Oct 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21Home1–2Lost
20 Oct 2026Boreham WoodAway1–7Lost
16 Oct 2026Everton U21Away1–2Lost
30 Sep 2026Juventus U21Home1–0Won
Middlesbrough U21 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Middlesbrough U21 performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Middlesbrough U21 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away4
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away7
Goals against total14
Goals against average home2.30
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage31.25%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Derby County U21 recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derby County U21 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026WealdstoneAway2–2Draw
02 Nov 2026Hull City U21Away0–1Lost
26 Oct 2026Norwich City U21Home3–4Lost
19 Oct 2026Birmingham City U21Away4–0Won
13 Oct 2026ScunthorpeAway2–2Draw
Derby County U21 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derby County U21 performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home0
Wins away2
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins away0-4
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Derby County U21 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away8
Goals for total16
Goals for average home2.70
Goals for average away2.70
Goals for average total2.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage5.88%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.76%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage17.65%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.53%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage29.41%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home11
Goals against total away5
Goals against total16
Goals against average home3.70
Goals against average away1.70
Goals against average total2.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage13.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Middlesbrough U21 predictions and analysis, Derby County U21 match tips, or more Premier League 2 Division One predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.