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Birmingham City U21 vs Derby County U21 Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League 2 Division One, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier League 2 Division One

Birmingham City U21 badge Birmingham City U21
VS

Final result0–4

Damson Park

Match Finished

Derby County U21 badge Derby County U21
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Birmingham City U21 or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Birmingham City U21Probability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Derby County U21Probability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Birmingham City U21
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Birmingham City U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBirmingham City U21Derby County U21
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence63.0%37.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals100.0%0.0%
Total44.0%56.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Birmingham City U21

Recent form (last 5): D L D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Derby County U21

Recent form (last 5): W D L L

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Derby County U21 0–3 Birmingham City U21 (23 Aug 2025)

Birmingham City U21 recent matches

Scores below are shown as Birmingham City U21 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13 Oct 2026Truro CityAway0–3Lost
09 Oct 2026Huddersfield Town U21Home2–4Lost
18 Sep 2026Arsenal U21Home0–0Draw
15 Sep 2026Gillingham FC U21Away4–0Won
11 Sep 2026Norwich City U21Away2–4Lost
Birmingham City U21 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Birmingham City U21 performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total3
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest losses away4-2
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Birmingham City U21 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away5
Goals for total5
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away2.50
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under3
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away7
Goals against total7
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away3.50
Goals against average total2.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under3

Derby County U21 recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derby County U21 goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
13 Oct 2026ScunthorpeAway2–2Draw
10 Oct 2026Brentford U21Away2–4Lost
18 Sep 2026Burnley U21Away1–4Lost
11 Sep 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21Home1–3Lost
08 Sep 2026GatesheadAway3–1Won
Derby County U21 detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derby County U21 performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total4
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Derby County U21 goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away4
Goals for total9
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage30.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage40.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under4
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away5
Goals against total12
Goals against average home3.50
Goals against average away2.50
Goals against average total3.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage9.09%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under4

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Birmingham City U21 predictions and analysis, Derby County U21 match tips, or more Premier League 2 Division One predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.