FreeSureBets
Download appApp

Bury vs Leek Town Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Non League Premier - Northern, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Non League Premier - Northern

Bury badge Bury
VS

Final result5–3

Gigg Lane

Match Finished

Leek Town badge Leek Town
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Bury and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 50%
50%
HOME WIN
BuryProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
Leek TownProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Bury
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Bury and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBuryLeek Town
Form64.0%36.0%
Attack60.0%40.0%
Defence69.0%31.0%
Poisson85.0%15.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total69.5%30.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Bury

Recent form (last 5): W L W L W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Leek Town

Recent form (last 5): L L W D D

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Bury recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bury goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Alfreton TownAway3–2Won
06 Oct 2026Stockton TownAway0–1Lost
03 Oct 2026Bromsgrove SportingHome2–1Won
19 Sep 2026WorkingtonHome5–1Won
12 Sep 2026AFC EmleyHome4–0Won
Bury detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bury performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home7-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home7
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage75.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage25.00%
Penalty total4

Bury goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away7
Goals for total22
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total7
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage31.82%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.64%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away8
Goals against total11
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage9.09%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Leek Town recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leek Town goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Ashton UnitedHome2–2Draw
22 Sep 2026Hyde UnitedHome2–1Won
19 Sep 2026Bromsgrove SportingAway1–2Lost
12 Sep 2026Redcar AthleticAway2–3Lost
05 Sep 2026Sporting KhalsaAway5–0Won
Leek Town detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leek Town performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total12
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Leek Town goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away10
Goals for total24
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away2.00
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage4.35%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage21.74%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage30.43%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.04%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away12
Goals against total25
Goals against average home1.90
Goals against average away2.40
Goals against average total2.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage3.85%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage19.23%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage26.92%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage3.85%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage7.69%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Bury predictions and analysis, Leek Town match tips, or more Non League Premier - Northern predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.