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Oxford City vs Merthyr Town Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for National League - North, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

National League - North

Oxford City badge Oxford City
VS

Final result3–0

RAW Charging Stadium

Match Finished

Merthyr Town badge Merthyr Town
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Oxford City or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Oxford CityProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
Merthyr TownProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Oxford City
Betting advice
Double chance : Oxford City or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorOxford CityMerthyr Town
Form73.0%27.0%
Attack67.0%33.0%
Defence70.0%30.0%
Poisson61.0%39.0%
H2H20.0%80.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total54.0%46.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Oxford City

Recent form (last 5): L W D W D

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Merthyr Town

Recent form (last 5): D L D D L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Merthyr Town 1–1 Oxford City (03 Apr 2026)
  2. Oxford City 1–3 Merthyr Town (26 Dec 2025)

Oxford City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Oxford City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026MarineAway1–1Draw
17 Oct 2026TorquayAway1–0Won
10 Oct 2026Hebburn TownAway3–0Won
03 Oct 2026Enfield TownHome6–1Won
26 Sep 2026MorecambeHome1–1Draw
Oxford City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Oxford City performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total12
Wins home2
Wins away5
Wins total7
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away1-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away4
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Oxford City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away13
Goals for total22
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.90
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage9.52%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away3
Goals against total8
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.40
Goals against average total0.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage44.44%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Merthyr Town recent matches

Scores below are shown as Merthyr Town goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026MorecambeHome1–3Lost
17 Oct 2026King's Lynn TownHome1–1Draw
10 Oct 2026Darlington 1883Away1–1Draw
26 Sep 2026MarineHome1–2Lost
22 Sep 2026Truro CityAway0–2Lost
Merthyr Town detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Merthyr Town performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Merthyr Town goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away5
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage6.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away6
Goals against total16
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total3
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage18.75%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Oxford City predictions and analysis, Merthyr Town match tips, or more National League - North predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.