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Merthyr Town vs Morecambe Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for National League - North, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

National League - North

Merthyr Town badge Merthyr Town
VS

Final result1–3

Match Finished

Morecambe badge Morecambe
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Merthyr Town or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
Merthyr TownProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
MorecambeProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Merthyr Town
Betting advice
Double chance : Merthyr Town or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorMerthyr TownMorecambe
Form46.0%54.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson60.0%40.0%
H2H0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total47.8%52.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Merthyr Town

Recent form (last 5): W D L D D

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Morecambe

Recent form (last 5): W L W D L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Merthyr Town recent matches

Scores below are shown as Merthyr Town goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026King's Lynn TownHome1–1Draw
10 Oct 2026Darlington 1883Away1–1Draw
26 Sep 2026MarineHome1–2Lost
22 Sep 2026Truro CityAway0–2Lost
19 Sep 2026Truro CityHome1–1Draw
Merthyr Town detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Merthyr Town performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total12
Wins home2
Wins away1
Wins total3
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Merthyr Town goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away5
Goals for total14
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage7.14%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away6
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage30.77%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage15.38%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Morecambe recent matches

Scores below are shown as Morecambe goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026AFC Rushden & DiamondsAway1–2Lost
10 Oct 2026Worksop TownAway1–2Lost
03 Oct 2026Darlington 1883Home3–0Won
26 Sep 2026Oxford CityAway1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026SouthportHome2–0Won
Morecambe detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Morecambe performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away4
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Morecambe goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away5
Goals for total15
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage42.86%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away8
Goals against total11
Goals against average home0.60
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage8.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Merthyr Town predictions and analysis, Morecambe match tips, or more National League - North predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.