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Chorley vs Hereford Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for National League - North, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

National League - North

Chorley badge Chorley
VS

Victory Park

Hereford badge Hereford
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Chorley or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
ChorleyProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
HerefordProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Chorley
Betting advice
Double chance : Chorley or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorChorleyHereford
Form69.0%31.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total59.8%40.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Chorley

Recent form (last 5): W W L W L

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Hereford

Recent form (last 5): D L W L L

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Chorley 4–2 Hereford (20 Dec 2025)
  2. Hereford 1–4 Chorley (23 Aug 2025)
  3. Hereford 1–0 Chorley (14 Dec 2024)
  4. Chorley 1–1 Hereford (17 Aug 2024)
  5. Hereford 0–1 Chorley (09 Mar 2024)
  6. Chorley 1–2 Hereford (28 Oct 2023)
  7. Chorley 2–0 Hereford (07 Mar 2023)
  8. Hereford 1–1 Chorley (06 Dec 2022)
  9. Chorley 3–2 Hereford (29 Jan 2022)
  10. Hereford 1–0 Chorley (06 Nov 2021)

Chorley recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chorley goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026Spennymoor TownAway0–2Lost
27 Oct 2026RadcliffeAway3–0Won
24 Oct 2026BuxtonHome2–3Lost
20 Oct 2026Worcester CityAway0–1Lost
17 Oct 2026Worcester CityHome1–1Draw
Chorley detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chorley performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total14
Wins home4
Wins away2
Wins total6
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away4
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home2-3
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Chorley goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home16
Goals for total away7
Goals for total23
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage26.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage4.35%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.74%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage4.35%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away11
Goals against total23
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage8.70%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.74%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.39%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.74%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage30.43%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under14

Hereford recent matches

Scores below are shown as Hereford goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026King's Lynn TownHome0–3Lost
27 Oct 2026AFC Telford UnitedHome0–1Lost
24 Oct 2026MacclesfieldAway2–1Won
10 Oct 2026Hednesford TownHome0–1Lost
26 Sep 2026Bedford TownAway1–1Draw
Hereford detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Hereford performance

Fixtures played home8
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total14
Wins home4
Wins away4
Wins total8
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home3
Losses away1
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home6-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total6
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

Hereford goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away11
Goals for total24
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.35%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage8.70%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.04%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage17.39%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage21.74%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total4
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage17.39%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away4
Goals against total11
Goals against average home0.90
Goals against average away0.70
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under14

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Chorley predictions and analysis, Hereford match tips, or more National League - North predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.