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Chorley vs Buxton Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for National League - North, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

National League - North

Chorley badge Chorley
VS

Final result2–3

Victory Park

Match Finished

Buxton badge Buxton
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Chorley or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
ChorleyProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
BuxtonProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Chorley
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Chorley or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorChorleyBuxton
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack47.0%53.0%
Defence44.0%56.0%
Poisson76.0%24.0%
H2H20.0%80.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total47.8%52.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Chorley

Recent form (last 5): L W L W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Buxton

Recent form (last 5): W W L L D

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Chorley 1–2 Buxton (14 Mar 2026)
  2. Buxton 3–2 Chorley (18 Oct 2025)
  3. Buxton 1–0 Chorley (18 Apr 2025)
  4. Chorley 3–0 Buxton (04 Feb 2025)
  5. Buxton 3–1 Chorley (06 Apr 2024)
  6. Chorley 3–2 Buxton (12 Dec 2023)
  7. Chorley 2–2 Buxton (25 Feb 2023)
  8. Buxton 2–2 Chorley (10 Jan 2023)

Chorley recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chorley goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Oct 2026Worcester CityAway0–1Lost
17 Oct 2026Worcester CityHome1–1Draw
10 Oct 2026AFC Telford UnitedHome2–1Won
03 Oct 2026Barton Town Old BoysAway4–1Won
26 Sep 2026Spalding UnitedHome2–1Won
Chorley detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chorley performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Chorley goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home14
Goals for total away4
Goals for total18
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.78%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage5.56%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage5.56%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away9
Goals against total18
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Buxton recent matches

Scores below are shown as Buxton goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Worksop TownHome2–2Draw
10 Oct 2026King's Lynn TownAway0–1Lost
03 Oct 2026South ShieldsHome0–2Lost
26 Sep 2026South ShieldsAway0–4Lost
19 Sep 2026Ashton UnitedHome1–0Won
Buxton detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Buxton performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total12
Wins home4
Wins away1
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away4
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Buxton goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home15
Goals for total away5
Goals for total20
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage10.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away14
Goals against total21
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage9.52%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage23.81%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage9.52%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total2
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage9.52%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Chorley predictions and analysis, Buxton match tips, or more National League - North predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.