Chorley vs AFC Telford United Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for National League - North, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

National League - North

VS

Final result2–1

Victory Park

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Chorley or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
ChorleyProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
AFC Telford UnitedProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Chorley
Betting advice
Double chance : Chorley or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorChorleyAFC Telford United
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack82.0%18.0%
Defence35.0%65.0%
Poisson56.0%44.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals64.0%36.0%
Total59.7%40.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Chorley

Recent form (last 5): D L W L W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

AFC Telford United

Recent form (last 5): L W W D L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. AFC Telford United 2–2 Chorley (17 Feb 2026)
  2. Chorley 3–1 AFC Telford United (06 Sep 2025)
  3. Chorley 1–0 AFC Telford United (31 Jan 2023)
  4. AFC Telford United 1–0 Chorley (06 Aug 2022)
  5. Chorley 1–0 AFC Telford United (23 Apr 2022)
  6. AFC Telford United 3–0 Chorley (21 Aug 2021)
  7. Chorley —–— AFC Telford United (23 Mar 2021)
  8. AFC Telford United 0–1 Chorley (17 Nov 2020)

Chorley recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chorley goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Oct 2026Barton Town Old BoysAway4–1Won
26 Sep 2026Spalding UnitedHome2–1Won
19 Sep 2026RylandsAway1–0Won
12 Sep 2026King's Lynn TownAway0–2Lost
08 Sep 2026Darlington 1883Home5–2Won
Chorley detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chorley performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home1
Losses away3
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage50.00%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage50.00%
Penalty total2

Chorley goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home12
Goals for total away4
Goals for total16
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.75%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage6.25%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage6.25%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home8
Goals against total away9
Goals against total17
Goals against average home1.60
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.76%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage17.65%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total6
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage35.29%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

AFC Telford United recent matches

Scores below are shown as AFC Telford United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
26 Sep 2026King's Lynn TownHome0–5Lost
22 Sep 2026Worksop TownAway2–5Lost
19 Sep 2026Worksop TownHome2–2Draw
12 Sep 2026Harborough TownAway0–0Draw
08 Sep 2026Oxford CityHome1–0Won
AFC Telford United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

AFC Telford United performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home3
Losses away2
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses home0-5
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

AFC Telford United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away5
Goals for total8
Goals for average home0.60
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage50.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away6
Goals against total15
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Chorley predictions and analysis, AFC Telford United match tips, or more National League - North predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.