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Swindon Town vs Accrington ST Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for League Two, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

League Two

Swindon Town badge Swindon Town
VS

Final result1–1

County Ground

Match Finished

Accrington ST badge Accrington ST
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Accrington ST and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Swindon TownProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Accrington STProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Accrington ST
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Accrington ST and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSwindon TownAccrington ST
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack43.0%57.0%
Defence47.0%53.0%
Poisson79.0%21.0%
H2H36.0%64.0%
Goals38.0%63.0%
Total49.7%50.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Swindon Town

Recent form (last 5): L W W L L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Accrington ST

Recent form (last 5): L D W L D

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Swindon Town 2–2 Accrington ST (18 Apr 2026)
  2. Accrington ST 4–0 Swindon Town (18 Oct 2025)
  3. Swindon Town 0–0 Accrington ST (22 Mar 2025)
  4. Accrington ST 2–2 Swindon Town (30 Nov 2024)
  5. Accrington ST 2–2 Swindon Town (16 Nov 2024)
  6. Swindon Town 1–2 Accrington ST (12 Mar 2024)
  7. Accrington ST 3–4 Swindon Town (28 Nov 2023)
  8. Accrington ST 2–1 Swindon Town (06 Mar 2021)
  9. Swindon Town 0–3 Accrington ST (17 Nov 2020)
  10. Swindon Town 3–0 Accrington ST (05 May 2018)

Swindon Town recent matches

Scores below are shown as Swindon Town goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22 Sep 2026Newport CountyHome0–2Lost
19 Sep 2026Salford CityAway0–1Lost
15 Sep 2026Crystal Palace U21Home1–2Lost
12 Sep 2026YorkAway0–4Lost
05 Sep 2026ColchesterHome3–1Won
Swindon Town detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Swindon Town performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home0
Draws away1
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away3
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Swindon Town goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away0
Goals for total8
Goals for average home2.70
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage37.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away8
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage45.45%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Accrington ST recent matches

Scores below are shown as Accrington ST goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
22 Sep 2026Sunderland U21Home3–3Draw
19 Sep 2026Newport CountyHome0–0Draw
12 Sep 2026BarnetAway1–2Lost
05 Sep 2026Crawley TownHome3–2Won
01 Sep 2026GrimsbyHome2–2Draw
Accrington ST detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Accrington ST performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home3
Draws away0
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away3
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-2
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Accrington ST goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away3
Goals for total10
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away7
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage8.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Swindon Town predictions and analysis, Accrington ST match tips, or more League Two predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.