Port Vale vs Rochdale Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for League Two, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

League Two

VS

Final result4–2

Vale Park

Match Finished

OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
Port ValeProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
RochdaleProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Port Vale
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Port Vale or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorPort ValeRochdale
Form58.0%42.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence69.0%31.0%
Poisson83.0%17.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total61.7%38.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Port Vale

Recent form (last 5): L W W D L

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Rochdale

Recent form (last 5): W D L D L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Rochdale 2–3 Port Vale (23 Jul 2022)
  2. Rochdale 1–1 Port Vale (22 Feb 2022)
  3. Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale (05 Oct 2021)
  4. Port Vale 2–3 Rochdale (04 Sep 2021)
  5. Port Vale 2–1 Rochdale (29 Aug 2020)
  6. Rochdale 3–0 Port Vale (04 Apr 2017)
  7. Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale (16 Aug 2016)
  8. Port Vale 4–1 Rochdale (23 Apr 2016)
  9. Rochdale 2–1 Port Vale (28 Nov 2015)
  10. Rochdale 1–0 Port Vale (06 Apr 2015)

Port Vale recent matches

Scores below are shown as Port Vale goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Oct 2026Manchester City U21Home5–0Won
24 Oct 2026YorkAway0–2Lost
20 Oct 2026GillinghamAway1–1Draw
17 Oct 2026ChesterfieldHome1–0Won
10 Oct 2026GrimsbyHome1–0Won
Port Vale detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Port Vale performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home3
Wins away0
Wins total3
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away5
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home1-0
Biggest losses away3-1
Biggest goals for home1
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home4
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Port Vale goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away2
Goals for total6
Goals for average home0.80
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away11
Goals against total12
Goals against average home0.20
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage8.33%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage8.33%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Rochdale recent matches

Scores below are shown as Rochdale goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Accrington STHome0–5Lost
20 Oct 2026GrimsbyHome2–2Draw
17 Oct 2026CreweAway2–3Lost
10 Oct 2026TranmereAway1–1Draw
06 Oct 2026HuddersfieldAway0–5Lost
Rochdale detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Rochdale performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home3
Losses away3
Losses total6
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home0-5
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Rochdale goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home10
Goals for total away5
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage7.14%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage35.71%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home13
Goals against total away9
Goals against total22
Goals against average home1.90
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage13.04%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage8.70%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.74%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage26.09%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage21.74%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage4.35%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage4.35%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Port Vale predictions and analysis, Rochdale match tips, or more League Two predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.