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Crewe vs Rochdale Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for League Two, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

League Two

Crewe badge Crewe
VS

Final result3–2

Alexandra Stadium

Match Finished

Rochdale badge Rochdale
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Crewe or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
CreweProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
RochdaleProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Crewe
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Crewe or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCreweRochdale
Form45.0%55.0%
Attack54.0%46.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2H64.0%36.0%
Goals53.0%47.0%
Total52.8%47.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Crewe

Recent form (last 5): D D D W W

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Rochdale

Recent form (last 5): D W W W D

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Crewe 1–1 Rochdale (25 Feb 2023)
  2. Rochdale 1–2 Crewe (30 Jul 2022)
  3. Crewe 1–1 Rochdale (24 Apr 2021)
  4. Rochdale 3–3 Crewe (09 Jan 2021)
  5. Rochdale 2–2 Crewe (16 Feb 2016)
  6. Crewe 2–0 Rochdale (06 Feb 2016)
  7. Rochdale 4–0 Crewe (03 Mar 2015)
  8. Crewe 0–3 Rochdale (02 Sep 2014)
  9. Crewe 2–5 Rochdale (19 Aug 2014)

Crewe recent matches

Scores below are shown as Crewe goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Swindon TownAway1–0Won
06 Oct 2026BlackpoolAway2–2Draw
03 Oct 2026Bristol RoversHome3–1Won
26 Sep 2026RotherhamAway1–1Draw
22 Sep 2026Aston Villa U21Home4–1Won
Crewe detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Crewe performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home3
Draws away3
Draws total6
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws6
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Crewe goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away4
Goals for total12
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away2
Goals against total7
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.40
Goals against average total0.70
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Rochdale recent matches

Scores below are shown as Rochdale goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026TranmereAway1–1Draw
06 Oct 2026HuddersfieldAway0–5Lost
03 Oct 2026Swindon TownHome1–0Won
26 Sep 2026Fleetwood TownAway2–1Won
22 Sep 2026Liverpool U21Home3–3Draw
Rochdale detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Rochdale performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total10
Wins home3
Wins away1
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins3
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Rochdale goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away3
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.60
Goals for average away0.60
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under10
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away6
Goals against total12
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under10

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Crewe predictions and analysis, Rochdale match tips, or more League Two predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.