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Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for League Cup, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

League Cup

Manchester City badge Manchester City
VS

Final result2–2

Etihad Stadium

Match Finished

Brighton badge Brighton
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Winner : Manchester City and +2.5 goalsSelection confidence: 10%
45%
HOME WIN
Manchester CityProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
BrightonProbability
GOALS MARKET+2.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Manchester City
Betting advice
Combo Winner : Manchester City and +2.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorManchester CityBrighton
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total51.8%48.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Manchester City

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 5.00 per match.

Brighton

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Manchester City 1–1 Brighton (07 Jan 2026)
  2. Brighton 2–1 Manchester City (31 Aug 2025)
  3. Manchester City 2–2 Brighton (15 Mar 2025)
  4. Brighton 2–1 Manchester City (09 Nov 2024)
  5. Brighton 0–4 Manchester City (25 Apr 2024)
  6. Manchester City 2–1 Brighton (21 Oct 2023)
  7. Brighton 1–1 Manchester City (24 May 2023)
  8. Manchester City 3–1 Brighton (22 Oct 2022)
  9. Manchester City 3–0 Brighton (20 Apr 2022)
  10. Brighton 1–4 Manchester City (23 Oct 2021)

Manchester City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Manchester City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Aston VillaAway1–2Lost
20 Oct 2026AEK Athens FCHome5–1Won
17 Oct 2026IpswichHome3–2Won
14 Oct 2026Paris Saint GermainHome2–4Lost
11 Oct 2026LiverpoolAway3–0Won
Manchester City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Manchester City performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Manchester City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away0
Goals for total5
Goals for average home5.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total5.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under0
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away0
Goals against total0
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.00
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Brighton recent matches

Scores below are shown as Brighton goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026LiverpoolAway0–2Lost
22 Oct 2026FK JablonecAway0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026Crystal PalaceHome5–0Won
15 Oct 2026Kauno ŽalgirisHome4–0Won
10 Oct 2026SunderlandAway2–0Won
Brighton detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Brighton performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Brighton goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away3
Goals for total3
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage66.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away2
Goals against total2
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +2.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Manchester City predictions and analysis, Brighton match tips, or more League Cup predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.