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Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for League Cup, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

League Cup

Liverpool badge Liverpool
VS

Final result1–1

Anfield

Match Finished

Chelsea badge Chelsea
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Chelsea and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
LiverpoolProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
ChelseaProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Chelsea
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Chelsea and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLiverpoolChelsea
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack27.0%73.0%
Defence75.0%25.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals46.0%54.0%
Total46.2%53.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Liverpool

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Chelsea

Recent form (last 5): W W

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea (09 May 2026)
  2. Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool (04 Oct 2025)
  3. Chelsea 3–1 Liverpool (04 May 2025)
  4. Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea (20 Oct 2024)
  5. Chelsea 0–1 Liverpool (25 Feb 2024)
  6. Liverpool 4–1 Chelsea (31 Jan 2024)
  7. Chelsea 1–1 Liverpool (13 Aug 2023)
  8. Chelsea 0–0 Liverpool (04 Apr 2023)
  9. Liverpool 0–0 Chelsea (21 Jan 2023)
  10. Chelsea 0–0 Liverpool (14 May 2022)

Liverpool recent matches

Scores below are shown as Liverpool goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026BrightonHome2–0Won
20 Oct 2026VillarrealHome4–3Won
17 Oct 2026BrentfordAway2–1Won
14 Oct 2026Lask LinzAway6–3Won
11 Oct 2026Manchester CityHome0–3Lost
Liverpool detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Liverpool performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Liverpool goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away0
Goals for total3
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away0
Goals against total1
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Chelsea recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chelsea goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026TottenhamHome0–2Lost
17 Oct 2026EvertonAway2–0Won
10 Oct 2026BournemouthHome5–1Won
18 Sep 2026BrentfordAway0–3Lost
12 Sep 2026Hull CityHome2–2Draw
Chelsea detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chelsea performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total2
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home6-3
Biggest goals for home6
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Chelsea goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home8
Goals for total away0
Goals for total8
Goals for average home4.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total4.00
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage57.14%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage14.29%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away0
Goals against total3
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total1.50
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under2

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Liverpool predictions and analysis, Chelsea match tips, or more League Cup predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.