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Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for League Cup, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

League Cup

Bournemouth badge Bournemouth
VS

Final result3–0

Vitality Stadium

Match Finished

Aston Villa badge Aston Villa
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Bournemouth or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
BournemouthProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Aston VillaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Bournemouth
Betting advice
Double chance : Bournemouth or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBournemouthAston Villa
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2H15.0%85.0%
Goals23.0%77.0%
Total36.3%63.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Bournemouth

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 4.00 per match.

Aston Villa

Recent form (last 5): W

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa (07 Feb 2026)
  2. Aston Villa 4–0 Bournemouth (09 Nov 2025)
  3. Bournemouth 0–1 Aston Villa (10 May 2025)
  4. Aston Villa 1–1 Bournemouth (26 Oct 2024)
  5. Aston Villa 3–1 Bournemouth (21 Apr 2024)
  6. Bournemouth 2–2 Aston Villa (03 Dec 2023)
  7. Aston Villa 3–0 Bournemouth (18 Mar 2023)
  8. Bournemouth 2–0 Aston Villa (06 Aug 2022)
  9. Bournemouth 2–1 Aston Villa (01 Feb 2020)
  10. Aston Villa 1–2 Bournemouth (17 Aug 2019)

Bournemouth recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bournemouth goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026Manchester UnitedAway3–0Won
22 Oct 2026AC MilanHome3–0Won
18 Oct 2026SunderlandHome2–0Won
15 Oct 2026Sturm GrazHome3–0Won
10 Oct 2026ChelseaAway1–5Lost
Bournemouth detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bournemouth performance

Fixtures played home1
Fixtures played away0
Fixtures played total1
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home4-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away0
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away0
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Bournemouth goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away0
Goals for total4
Goals for average home4.00
Goals for average away0.00
Goals for average total4.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away0
Goals against total0
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away0.00
Goals against average total0.00
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Aston Villa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Aston Villa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026Manchester CityHome2–1Won
21 Oct 2026VikingHome3–1Won
17 Oct 2026NewcastleAway1–0Won
14 Oct 2026FenerbahçeHome6–0Won
10 Oct 2026BrentfordHome2–2Draw
Aston Villa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Aston Villa performance

Fixtures played home0
Fixtures played away1
Fixtures played total1
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest goals for home0
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home0
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Aston Villa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home0
Goals for total away3
Goals for total3
Goals for average home0.00
Goals for average away3.00
Goals for average total3.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under1
Goals against total home0
Goals against total away1
Goals against total1
Goals against average home0.00
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage100.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under1

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Bournemouth predictions and analysis, Aston Villa match tips, or more League Cup predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.