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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier League

Newcastle badge Newcastle
VS

Final result0–1

St James' Park

Match Finished

Aston Villa badge Aston Villa
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Newcastle or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
NewcastleProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Aston VillaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Newcastle
Betting advice
Double chance : Newcastle or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorNewcastleAston Villa
Form58.0%42.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence39.0%61.0%
Poisson66.0%34.0%
H2H50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total53.3%46.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Newcastle

Recent form (last 5): W D L W L

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Aston Villa

Recent form (last 5): L D L W D

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle (14 Feb 2026)
  2. Newcastle 0–2 Aston Villa (25 Jan 2026)
  3. Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle (16 Aug 2025)
  4. Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle (19 Apr 2025)
  5. Newcastle 3–0 Aston Villa (26 Dec 2024)
  6. Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle (30 Jan 2024)
  7. Newcastle 5–1 Aston Villa (12 Aug 2023)
  8. Newcastle 3–3 Aston Villa (24 Jul 2023)
  9. Aston Villa 3–0 Newcastle (15 Apr 2023)
  10. Newcastle 4–0 Aston Villa (29 Oct 2022)

Newcastle recent matches

Scores below are shown as Newcastle goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12 Oct 2026CoventryAway1–4Lost
19 Sep 2026Hull CityHome2–1Won
14 Sep 2026LeedsAway1–4Lost
08 Sep 2026MillwallAway1–0Won
05 Sep 2026BournemouthHome2–2Draw
Newcastle detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Newcastle performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away0
Draws total2
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Newcastle goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away4
Goals for total10
Goals for average home2.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away8
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away2.70
Goals against average total2.20
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Aston Villa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Aston Villa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
14 Oct 2026FenerbahçeHome6–0Won
10 Oct 2026BrentfordHome2–2Draw
02 Oct 2026SevillaAway3–1Won
19 Sep 2026TottenhamAway3–2Won
16 Sep 2026CoventryAway3–1Won
Aston Villa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Aston Villa performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total6
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Aston Villa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away3
Goals for total6
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away6
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage36.36%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under6

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Newcastle predictions and analysis, Aston Villa match tips, or more Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.