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Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Premier League

Manchester United badge Manchester United
VS

Old Trafford

Aston Villa badge Aston Villa
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Manchester United or drawSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
Manchester UnitedProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
Aston VillaProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Manchester United
Betting advice
Double chance : Manchester United or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorManchester UnitedAston Villa
Form21.0%79.0%
Attack25.0%75.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson51.0%49.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total46.3%53.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Manchester United

Recent form (last 5): D D D L L

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Aston Villa

Recent form (last 5): W D W W D

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa (15 Mar 2026)
  2. Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester United (21 Dec 2025)
  3. Manchester United 2–0 Aston Villa (25 May 2025)
  4. Aston Villa 0–0 Manchester United (06 Oct 2024)
  5. Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester United (11 Feb 2024)
  6. Manchester United 3–2 Aston Villa (26 Dec 2023)
  7. Manchester United 1–0 Aston Villa (30 Apr 2023)
  8. Manchester United 4–2 Aston Villa (10 Nov 2022)
  9. Aston Villa 3–1 Manchester United (06 Nov 2022)
  10. Manchester United 2–2 Aston Villa (23 Jul 2022)

Manchester United recent matches

Scores below are shown as Manchester United goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026AS RomaHome3–2Won
31 Oct 2026ChelseaAway0–2Lost
25 Oct 2026BournemouthHome0–3Lost
21 Oct 2026ComoAway1–4Lost
18 Oct 2026LeedsAway1–1Draw
Manchester United detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Manchester United performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home1
Draws away3
Draws total4
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Manchester United goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away4
Goals for total10
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total4
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage30.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away8
Goals against total15
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away1.60
Goals against average total1.70
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage26.67%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage6.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Aston Villa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Aston Villa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026BarcelonaAway0–3Lost
31 Oct 2026FulhamHome1–1Draw
28 Oct 2026BournemouthAway0–3Lost
24 Oct 2026Manchester CityHome2–1Won
21 Oct 2026VikingHome3–1Won
Aston Villa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Aston Villa performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away2
Wins total3
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total1
Penalty missed percentage100.00%
Penalty total1

Aston Villa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away4
Goals for total10
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage8.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home7
Goals against total away6
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.40
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.40
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage36.36%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Manchester United predictions and analysis, Aston Villa match tips, or more Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.