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Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier League

Manchester City badge Manchester City
VS

Final result0–1

Etihad Stadium

Match Finished

Brighton badge Brighton
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : draw or Brighton and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
Manchester CityProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
BrightonProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Brighton
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Brighton and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorManchester CityBrighton
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack46.0%54.0%
Defence22.0%78.0%
Poisson48.0%52.0%
H2H25.0%75.0%
Goals44.0%56.0%
Total39.2%60.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Manchester City

Recent form (last 5): W W W W L

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Brighton

Recent form (last 5): W W W W L

Average goals scored: 2.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Manchester City 1–1 Brighton (07 Jan 2026)
  2. Brighton 2–1 Manchester City (31 Aug 2025)
  3. Manchester City 2–2 Brighton (15 Mar 2025)
  4. Brighton 2–1 Manchester City (09 Nov 2024)
  5. Brighton 0–4 Manchester City (25 Apr 2024)
  6. Manchester City 2–1 Brighton (21 Oct 2023)
  7. Brighton 1–1 Manchester City (24 May 2023)
  8. Manchester City 3–1 Brighton (22 Oct 2022)
  9. Manchester City 3–0 Brighton (20 Apr 2022)
  10. Brighton 1–4 Manchester City (23 Oct 2021)

Manchester City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Manchester City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28 Oct 2026BrightonHome2–2Draw
24 Oct 2026Aston VillaAway1–2Lost
20 Oct 2026AEK Athens FCHome5–1Won
17 Oct 2026IpswichHome3–2Won
14 Oct 2026Paris Saint GermainHome2–4Lost
Manchester City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Manchester City performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home4
Wins away3
Wins total7
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins7
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home5-3
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Manchester City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away9
Goals for total20
Goals for average home2.80
Goals for average away2.30
Goals for average total2.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage4.76%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage28.57%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage23.81%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away3
Goals against total9
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.10
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage12.50%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Brighton recent matches

Scores below are shown as Brighton goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28 Oct 2026Manchester CityAway2–2Draw
25 Oct 2026LiverpoolAway0–2Lost
22 Oct 2026FK JablonecAway0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026Crystal PalaceHome5–0Won
15 Oct 2026Kauno ŽalgirisHome4–0Won
Brighton detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Brighton performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away0-5
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home3
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Brighton goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away10
Goals for total23
Goals for average home3.30
Goals for average away2.50
Goals for average total2.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage14.29%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage23.81%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.52%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage19.05%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage4.76%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away6
Goals against total7
Goals against average home0.30
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total0.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage55.56%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage22.22%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Manchester City predictions and analysis, Brighton match tips, or more Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.