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Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier League

Liverpool badge Liverpool
VS

Final result0–1

Anfield

Match Finished

Arsenal badge Arsenal
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Liverpool or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 70%
35%
HOME WIN
LiverpoolProbability
35%
DRAW
DrawProbability
30%
AWAY WIN
ArsenalProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Liverpool
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Liverpool or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorLiverpoolArsenal
Form45.0%55.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson33.0%67.0%
H2H75.0%25.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total50.5%49.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Liverpool

Recent form (last 5): D W L W W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Arsenal

Recent form (last 5): W L W W W

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Arsenal 0–0 Liverpool (08 Jan 2026)
  2. Liverpool 1–0 Arsenal (31 Aug 2025)
  3. Liverpool 2–2 Arsenal (11 May 2025)
  4. Arsenal 2–2 Liverpool (27 Oct 2024)
  5. Liverpool 2–1 Arsenal (01 Aug 2024)
  6. Arsenal 3–1 Liverpool (04 Feb 2024)
  7. Arsenal 0–2 Liverpool (07 Jan 2024)
  8. Liverpool 1–1 Arsenal (23 Dec 2023)
  9. Liverpool 2–2 Arsenal (09 Apr 2023)
  10. Arsenal 3–2 Liverpool (09 Oct 2022)

Liverpool recent matches

Scores below are shown as Liverpool goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28 Oct 2026ChelseaHome1–1Draw
25 Oct 2026BrightonHome2–0Won
20 Oct 2026VillarrealHome4–3Won
17 Oct 2026BrentfordAway2–1Won
14 Oct 2026Lask LinzAway6–3Won
Liverpool detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Liverpool performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away3
Wins total4
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away0
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Liverpool goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away7
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away3
Goals against total8
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Arsenal recent matches

Scores below are shown as Arsenal goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27 Oct 2026Fleetwood TownAway1–1Draw
24 Oct 2026EvertonHome2–0Won
21 Oct 2026Bayern MünchenAway2–2Draw
18 Oct 2026Nottingham ForestAway1–0Won
13 Oct 2026LilleHome3–0Won
Arsenal detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Arsenal performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home4
Wins away3
Wins total7
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away3
Clean sheet total5
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Arsenal goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away4
Goals for total13
Goals for average home2.30
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.38%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage30.77%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage23.08%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away3
Goals against total5
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage40.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage40.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Liverpool predictions and analysis, Arsenal match tips, or more Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.