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Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier League

Chelsea badge Chelsea
VS

Final result5–1

Stamford Bridge

Match Finished

Bournemouth badge Bournemouth
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Chelsea or draw and +1.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
ChelseaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
BournemouthProbability
GOALS MARKET+1.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Chelsea
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Chelsea or draw and +1.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorChelseaBournemouth
Form70.0%30.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson58.0%42.0%
H2H75.0%25.0%
Goals58.0%42.0%
Total60.7%39.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Chelsea

Recent form (last 5): W W L D L

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Bournemouth

Recent form (last 5): L D D D L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth (30 Dec 2025)
  2. Bournemouth 0–0 Chelsea (06 Dec 2025)
  3. Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth (14 Jan 2025)
  4. Bournemouth 0–1 Chelsea (14 Sep 2024)
  5. Chelsea 2–1 Bournemouth (19 May 2024)
  6. Bournemouth 0–0 Chelsea (17 Sep 2023)
  7. Bournemouth 1–3 Chelsea (06 May 2023)
  8. Chelsea 2–0 Bournemouth (27 Dec 2022)
  9. Chelsea —–— Bournemouth (27 Jul 2021)
  10. Bournemouth 1–2 Chelsea (27 Jul 2021)

Chelsea recent matches

Scores below are shown as Chelsea goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18 Sep 2026BrentfordAway0–3Lost
12 Sep 2026Hull CityHome2–2Draw
09 Sep 2026LeedsHome6–3Won
06 Sep 2026ArsenalAway1–2Lost
30 Aug 2026BrightonHome4–3Won
Chelsea detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Chelsea performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total5
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away0
Draws total1
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-3
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Chelsea goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away4
Goals for total10
Goals for average home3.00
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage45.45%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage27.27%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away7
Goals against total12
Goals against average home2.50
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total2.40
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Bournemouth recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bournemouth goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026LiverpoolHome0–1Lost
17 Sep 2026Real SociedadAway2–1Won
12 Sep 2026BrentfordHome2–2Draw
08 Sep 2026LincolnHome4–0Won
05 Sep 2026NewcastleAway2–2Draw
Bournemouth detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bournemouth performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total5
Wins home0
Wins away0
Wins total0
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Bournemouth goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away3
Goals for total6
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage40.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away4
Goals against total8
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage22.22%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage44.44%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is +1.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Chelsea predictions and analysis, Bournemouth match tips, or more Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.