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Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier League

Bournemouth badge Bournemouth
VS

Final result2–0

Vitality Stadium

Match Finished

Leeds badge Leeds
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or LeedsSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
BournemouthProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
LeedsProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Leeds
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Leeds

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorBournemouthLeeds
Form54.0%46.0%
Attack57.0%43.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson51.0%49.0%
H2H38.0%62.0%
Goals52.0%48.0%
Total47.5%52.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Bournemouth

Recent form (last 5): D L L W W

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Leeds

Recent form (last 5): W D L D D

Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds (22 Apr 2026)
  2. Leeds 2–2 Bournemouth (27 Sep 2025)
  3. Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds (30 Apr 2023)
  4. Leeds 4–3 Bournemouth (05 Nov 2022)
  5. Leeds 1–0 Bournemouth (20 Jan 2015)
  6. Bournemouth 1–3 Leeds (16 Sep 2014)
  7. Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds (25 Mar 2014)
  8. Leeds 2–1 Bournemouth (01 Oct 2013)

Bournemouth recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bournemouth goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
28 Oct 2026Aston VillaHome3–0Won
25 Oct 2026Manchester UnitedAway3–0Won
22 Oct 2026AC MilanHome3–0Won
18 Oct 2026SunderlandHome2–0Won
15 Oct 2026Sturm GrazHome3–0Won
Bournemouth detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bournemouth performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home1
Losses away2
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins0
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest wins away0-3
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Bournemouth goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away7
Goals for total12
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.80
Goals for average total1.50
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage36.36%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away9
Goals against total13
Goals against average home1.00
Goals against average away2.30
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage7.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Leeds recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leeds goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
25 Oct 2026SunderlandAway0–0Draw
18 Oct 2026Manchester UnitedHome1–1Draw
10 Oct 2026ArsenalAway1–2Lost
20 Sep 2026Crystal PalaceHome0–0Draw
14 Sep 2026NewcastleHome4–1Won
Leeds detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leeds performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total8
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home3
Draws away2
Draws total5
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Leeds goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away3
Goals for total9
Goals for average home1.50
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.10
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under8
Goals against total home3
Goals against total away3
Goals against total6
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away0.80
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage42.86%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage42.86%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage14.29%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under8

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Bournemouth predictions and analysis, Leeds match tips, or more Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.