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Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier League

Aston Villa badge Aston Villa
VS

Final result2–1

Villa Park

Match Finished

Manchester City badge Manchester City
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Manchester CitySelection confidence: 45%
10%
HOME WIN
Aston VillaProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
Manchester CityProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Manchester City
Betting advice
Winner : Manchester City

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorAston VillaManchester City
Form35.0%65.0%
Attack35.0%65.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson6.0%94.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total38.0%62.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Aston Villa

Recent form (last 5): D L W D W

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Manchester City

Recent form (last 5): W W W W W

Average goals scored: 2.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa (24 May 2026)
  2. Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City (26 Oct 2025)
  3. Manchester City 2–1 Aston Villa (22 Apr 2025)
  4. Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City (21 Dec 2024)
  5. Manchester City 4–1 Aston Villa (03 Apr 2024)
  6. Aston Villa 1–0 Manchester City (06 Dec 2023)
  7. Manchester City 3–1 Aston Villa (12 Feb 2023)
  8. Aston Villa 1–1 Manchester City (03 Sep 2022)
  9. Manchester City 3–2 Aston Villa (22 May 2022)
  10. Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester City (01 Dec 2021)

Aston Villa recent matches

Scores below are shown as Aston Villa goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
21 Oct 2026VikingHome3–1Won
17 Oct 2026NewcastleAway1–0Won
14 Oct 2026FenerbahçeHome6–0Won
10 Oct 2026BrentfordHome2–2Draw
02 Oct 2026SevillaAway3–1Won
Aston Villa detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Aston Villa performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total7
Wins home0
Wins away2
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away1
Losses total3
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses home1-2
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Aston Villa goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home3
Goals for total away4
Goals for total7
Goals for average home1.00
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under7
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away6
Goals against total11
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away1.50
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage36.36%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Manchester City recent matches

Scores below are shown as Manchester City goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Oct 2026AEK Athens FCHome5–1Won
17 Oct 2026IpswichHome3–2Won
14 Oct 2026Paris Saint GermainHome2–4Lost
11 Oct 2026LiverpoolAway3–0Won
20 Sep 2026SunderlandHome5–3Won
Manchester City detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Manchester City performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total7
Wins home4
Wins away3
Wins total7
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins7
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home5-3
Biggest wins away1-4
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Manchester City goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home11
Goals for total away8
Goals for total19
Goals for average home2.80
Goals for average away2.70
Goals for average total2.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage5.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage10.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under6
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away1
Goals against total7
Goals against average home1.50
Goals against average away0.30
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.67%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under7

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Aston Villa predictions and analysis, Manchester City match tips, or more Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.