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Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Premier League, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Premier League

Arsenal badge Arsenal
VS

Final result2–1

Emirates Stadium

Match Finished

Leeds badge Leeds
OUR RECOMMENDATIONCombo Double chance : Arsenal or draw and -3.5 goalsSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
ArsenalProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
LeedsProbability
GOALS MARKET-3.5Total goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Arsenal
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : Arsenal or draw and -3.5 goals

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorArsenalLeeds
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack53.0%47.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals89.0%11.0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Arsenal

Recent form (last 5): W W W W L

Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.

Leeds

Recent form (last 5): W D D W D

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Leeds 0–4 Arsenal (31 Jan 2026)
  2. Arsenal 5–0 Leeds (23 Aug 2025)
  3. Arsenal 4–1 Leeds (01 Apr 2023)
  4. Leeds 0–1 Arsenal (16 Oct 2022)
  5. Arsenal 2–1 Leeds (08 May 2022)
  6. Leeds 1–4 Arsenal (18 Dec 2021)
  7. Arsenal 2–0 Leeds (26 Oct 2021)
  8. Arsenal 4–2 Leeds (14 Feb 2021)
  9. Leeds 0–0 Arsenal (22 Nov 2020)
  10. Arsenal 1–0 Leeds (06 Jan 2020)

Arsenal recent matches

Scores below are shown as Arsenal goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
19 Sep 2026BrightonAway0–3Lost
15 Sep 2026IpswichAway4–2Won
12 Sep 2026SunderlandAway2–0Won
09 Sep 2026NapoliAway1–0Won
06 Sep 2026ChelseaHome2–1Won
Arsenal detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Arsenal performance

Fixtures played home2
Fixtures played away3
Fixtures played total5
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins4
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Arsenal goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away3
Goals for total8
Goals for average home2.50
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.60
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage22.22%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total5
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage55.56%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage11.11%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home1
Goals against total away3
Goals against total4
Goals against average home0.50
Goals against average away1.00
Goals against average total0.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Leeds recent matches

Scores below are shown as Leeds goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
20 Sep 2026Crystal PalaceHome0–0Draw
14 Sep 2026NewcastleHome4–1Won
09 Sep 2026ChelseaAway3–6Lost
05 Sep 2026BrightonAway1–1Draw
30 Aug 2026BrentfordHome1–1Draw
Leeds detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Leeds performance

Fixtures played home3
Fixtures played away2
Fixtures played total5
Wins home1
Wins away1
Wins total2
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away0
Losses total0
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses0
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away0-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away1
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Leeds goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home5
Goals for total away2
Goals for total7
Goals for average home1.70
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage33.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under5
Goals against total home2
Goals against total away1
Goals against total3
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away0.50
Goals against average total0.60
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage50.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under5

Goal markets and betting-tip context

The recorded goals selection for this fixture is -3.5. Read it alongside both teams' scoring averages and the goal analysis above.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Arsenal predictions and analysis, Leeds match tips, or more Premier League predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.