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Watford vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

Record updated: .

Championship

Watford badge Watford
VS

Vicarage Road

Middlesbrough badge Middlesbrough
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or MiddlesbroughSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
WatfordProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
MiddlesbroughProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Middlesbrough
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorWatfordMiddlesbrough
Form32.0%68.0%
Attack30.0%70.0%
Defence36.0%64.0%
Poisson33.0%67.0%
H2H60.0%40.0%
Goals47.0%53.0%
Total39.7%60.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Watford

Recent form (last 5): L W L L W

Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.

Middlesbrough

Recent form (last 5): W W D W W

Average goals scored: 2.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Middlesbrough 5–1 Watford (25 Apr 2026)
  2. Watford 3–0 Middlesbrough (01 Nov 2025)
  3. Middlesbrough 0–1 Watford (15 Feb 2025)
  4. Watford 2–1 Middlesbrough (05 Oct 2024)
  5. Middlesbrough 3–1 Watford (04 May 2024)
  6. Watford 2–3 Middlesbrough (30 Sep 2023)
  7. Middlesbrough 2–0 Watford (28 Jan 2023)
  8. Watford 2–1 Middlesbrough (30 Aug 2022)
  9. Middlesbrough 1–1 Watford (05 Apr 2021)
  10. Watford 1–0 Middlesbrough (11 Sep 2020)

Watford recent matches

Scores below are shown as Watford goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026LincolnHome1–0Won
31 Oct 2026NorwichAway2–3Lost
24 Oct 2026WolvesAway0–1Lost
17 Oct 2026CharltonHome2–0Won
13 Oct 2026CardiffAway1–5Lost
Watford detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Watford performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total14
Wins home4
Wins away0
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away6
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-0
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away5-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away5
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total2
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away4
Failed to score total5
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Watford goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away4
Goals for total13
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away0.60
Goals for average total0.90
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage26.67%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under14
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under14
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away14
Goals against total23
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage19.05%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.52%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage9.52%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Middlesbrough recent matches

Scores below are shown as Middlesbrough goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04 Nov 2026WrexhamAway0–2Lost
31 Oct 2026CharltonHome3–0Won
23 Oct 2026BoltonAway5–1Won
17 Oct 2026CardiffHome2–2Draw
13 Oct 2026Stoke CityAway3–2Won
Middlesbrough detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Middlesbrough performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home5
Wins away3
Wins total8
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home0
Losses away1
Losses total1
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-5
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away5
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total0
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Middlesbrough goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home17
Goals for total away13
Goals for total30
Goals for average home2.40
Goals for average away2.20
Goals for average total2.30
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.13%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage6.45%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage12.90%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total7
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage22.58%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total6
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage19.35%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.58%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under12
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away8
Goals against total17
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage6.25%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage18.75%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage6.25%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Watford predictions and analysis, Middlesbrough match tips, or more Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.