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Southampton vs QPR Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Championship

Southampton badge Southampton
VS

Final result4–1

St. Mary's Stadium

Match Finished

QPR badge QPR
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Southampton or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
SouthamptonProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
QPRProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Southampton
Betting advice
Double chance : Southampton or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSouthamptonQPR
Form56.0%44.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence64.0%36.0%
Poisson76.0%24.0%
H2H100.0%0.0%
Goals85.0%15.0%
Total62.8%37.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Southampton

Recent form (last 5): L W W D W

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

QPR

Recent form (last 5): D D W L W

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Southampton 5–0 QPR (24 Feb 2026)
  2. QPR 1–2 Southampton (05 Nov 2025)
  3. QPR 0–1 Southampton (23 Dec 2023)
  4. Southampton 2–1 QPR (26 Aug 2023)
  5. QPR 0–1 Southampton (07 Feb 2015)
  6. Southampton 2–1 QPR (27 Sep 2014)
  7. Southampton 1–2 QPR (02 Mar 2013)
  8. QPR 1–3 Southampton (17 Nov 2012)

Southampton recent matches

Scores below are shown as Southampton goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026West HamAway3–2Won
17 Oct 2026BoltonHome0–0Draw
14 Oct 2026NorwichAway1–0Won
11 Oct 2026PortsmouthHome1–0Won
19 Sep 2026WrexhamAway1–2Lost
Southampton detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Southampton performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total12
Wins home5
Wins away2
Wins total7
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home0
Losses away2
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-1
Biggest wins away2-3
Biggest losses away2-1
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home1
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away0
Failed to score total1
Penalty scored total2
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total2

Southampton goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home16
Goals for total away8
Goals for total24
Goals for average home2.70
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total2.00
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total6
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage24.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total4
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage16.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage8.00%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage28.00%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over11
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home4
Goals against total away8
Goals against total12
Goals against average home0.70
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage18.18%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage18.18%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

QPR recent matches

Scores below are shown as QPR goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
24 Oct 2026SwanseaHome5–0Won
17 Oct 2026BirminghamAway0–3Lost
14 Oct 2026DerbyHome4–1Won
09 Oct 2026West HamAway1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026PrestonHome2–2Draw
QPR detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

QPR performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total12
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home2
Draws away3
Draws total5
Losses home1
Losses away1
Losses total2
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws4
Biggest streak losses1
Biggest wins home5-0
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home0-1
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home5
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total3
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total3

QPR goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away7
Goals for total20
Goals for average home2.20
Goals for average away1.20
Goals for average total1.70
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage26.32%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage10.53%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away7
Goals against total12
Goals against average home0.80
Goals against average away1.20
Goals against average total1.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage15.38%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Southampton predictions and analysis, QPR match tips, or more Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.