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Sheffield Utd vs Derby Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Championship

Sheffield Utd badge Sheffield Utd
VS

Final result1–1

Bramall Lane

Match Finished

Derby badge Derby
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Sheffield Utd or drawSelection confidence: 95%
50%
HOME WIN
Sheffield UtdProbability
50%
DRAW
DrawProbability
0%
AWAY WIN
DerbyProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Sheffield Utd
Betting advice
Double chance : Sheffield Utd or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorSheffield UtdDerby
Form75.0%25.0%
Attack64.0%36.0%
Defence60.0%40.0%
Poisson66.0%34.0%
H2H80.0%20.0%
Goals62.0%38.0%
Total67.8%32.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Sheffield Utd

Recent form (last 5): L L W L W

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Derby

Recent form (last 5): L D D L L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Derby 1–2 Sheffield Utd (02 May 2026)
  2. Sheffield Utd 1–3 Derby (01 Nov 2025)
  3. Derby 0–1 Sheffield Utd (01 Feb 2025)
  4. Sheffield Utd 1–0 Derby (21 Sep 2024)
  5. Derby 1–3 Sheffield Utd (29 Jul 2023)
  6. Derby 2–0 Sheffield Utd (15 Jan 2022)
  7. Sheffield Utd 1–0 Derby (25 Sep 2021)
  8. Sheffield Utd 2–1 Derby (24 Aug 2021)
  9. Derby 0–2 Sheffield Utd (01 Sep 2020)
  10. Sheffield Utd 3–1 Derby (26 Dec 2018)

Sheffield Utd recent matches

Scores below are shown as Sheffield Utd goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Bristol CityAway1–0Won
14 Oct 2026PortsmouthAway2–3Lost
10 Oct 2026LincolnHome3–0Won
19 Sep 2026Stoke CityAway1–2Lost
16 Sep 2026Fleetwood TownAway0–1Lost
Sheffield Utd detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Sheffield Utd performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total11
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home1
Draws away2
Draws total3
Losses home2
Losses away2
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-0
Biggest wins away1-2
Biggest losses home1-3
Biggest losses away3-2
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away3
Clean sheet home2
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total4
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total3
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Sheffield Utd goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away8
Goals for total15
Goals for average home1.40
Goals for average away1.30
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage26.67%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage6.67%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage20.00%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage13.33%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage13.33%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over8
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home6
Goals against total away8
Goals against total14
Goals against average home1.20
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.30
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage7.14%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total2
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage14.29%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.57%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Derby recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derby goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Stoke CityHome0–1Lost
14 Oct 2026QPRAway1–4Lost
10 Oct 2026WrexhamHome1–1Draw
19 Sep 2026BurnleyAway1–1Draw
12 Sep 2026BirminghamHome1–2Lost
Derby detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derby performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total11
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home2
Draws away1
Draws total3
Losses home4
Losses away3
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Derby goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away5
Goals for total9
Goals for average home0.70
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage33.33%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total1
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage11.11%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total2
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage22.22%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under11
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away10
Goals against total20
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage10.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage25.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage5.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage15.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total5
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage25.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under5
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under11

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Sheffield Utd predictions and analysis, Derby match tips, or more Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.