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Derby vs Norwich Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Championship

Derby badge Derby
VS

Final result0–4

Pride Park Stadium

Match Finished

Norwich badge Norwich
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or NorwichSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
DerbyProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
NorwichProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Norwich
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Norwich

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDerbyNorwich
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence39.0%61.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2H29.0%71.0%
Goals42.0%58.0%
Total33.0%67.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Derby

Recent form (last 5): D L L D L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Norwich

Recent form (last 5): L L L W W

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Norwich 2–1 Derby (21 Apr 2026)
  2. Derby 1–0 Norwich (21 Oct 2025)
  3. Norwich 1–1 Derby (08 Feb 2025)
  4. Derby 2–3 Norwich (28 Sep 2024)
  5. Derby 0–1 Norwich (10 Apr 2021)
  6. Norwich 0–1 Derby (03 Oct 2020)
  7. Norwich 3–4 Derby (29 Dec 2018)
  8. Derby 1–1 Norwich (03 Oct 2018)
  9. Derby 1–1 Norwich (10 Feb 2018)
  10. Norwich 1–2 Derby (28 Oct 2017)

Derby recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derby goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026MillwallAway1–4Lost
24 Oct 2026Sheffield UtdAway1–1Draw
17 Oct 2026Stoke CityHome0–1Lost
14 Oct 2026QPRAway1–4Lost
10 Oct 2026WrexhamHome1–1Draw
Derby detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derby performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total13
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home4
Losses away4
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Derby goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away7
Goals for total11
Goals for average home0.70
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away15
Goals against total25
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away2.10
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage4.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Norwich recent matches

Scores below are shown as Norwich goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31 Oct 2026WatfordHome3–2Won
24 Oct 2026CharltonAway3–1Won
17 Oct 2026PortsmouthHome0–1Lost
14 Oct 2026SouthamptonHome0–1Lost
10 Oct 2026SwanseaAway1–2Lost
Norwich detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Norwich performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home3
Wins away2
Wins total5
Draws home0
Draws away0
Draws total0
Losses home4
Losses away4
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws0
Biggest streak losses5
Biggest wins home4-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home3-4
Biggest losses away3-0
Biggest goals for home4
Biggest goals for away3
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home2
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Norwich goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home13
Goals for total away10
Goals for total23
Goals for average home1.90
Goals for average away1.70
Goals for average total1.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage22.73%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage13.64%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total7
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage31.82%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage4.55%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home12
Goals against total away12
Goals against total24
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away2.00
Goals against average total1.80
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total6
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage24.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage8.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total6
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage24.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total4
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage16.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over13
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under10
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Derby predictions and analysis, Norwich match tips, or more Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.