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Derby vs Bolton Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Championship

Derby badge Derby
VS

Final result3–1

Pride Park Stadium

Match Finished

Bolton badge Bolton
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or BoltonSelection confidence: 90%
10%
HOME WIN
DerbyProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
45%
AWAY WIN
BoltonProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Bolton
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Bolton

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorDerbyBolton
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack36.0%64.0%
Defence50.0%50.0%
Poisson27.0%73.0%
H2H71.0%29.0%
Goals73.0%27.0%
Total48.3%51.7%

Team form and goal analysis

Derby

Recent form (last 5): D L L D L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Bolton

Recent form (last 5): L W D L L

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Derby 1–0 Bolton (16 Mar 2024)
  2. Bolton 2–1 Derby (02 Sep 2023)
  3. Derby 2–1 Bolton (21 Jan 2023)
  4. Bolton 0–0 Derby (27 Dec 2022)
  5. Derby 4–0 Bolton (13 Apr 2019)
  6. Bolton 1–0 Derby (29 Sep 2018)
  7. Derby 3–0 Bolton (07 Apr 2018)
  8. Bolton 1–2 Derby (19 Aug 2017)
  9. Derby 4–1 Bolton (09 Apr 2016)
  10. Bolton 0–0 Derby (08 Aug 2015)

Derby recent matches

Scores below are shown as Derby goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026NorwichHome0–4Lost
31 Oct 2026MillwallAway1–4Lost
24 Oct 2026Sheffield UtdAway1–1Draw
17 Oct 2026Stoke CityHome0–1Lost
14 Oct 2026QPRAway1–4Lost
Derby detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Derby performance

Fixtures played home6
Fixtures played away7
Fixtures played total13
Wins home0
Wins away1
Wins total1
Draws home2
Draws away2
Draws total4
Losses home4
Losses away4
Losses total8
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses3
Biggest wins away0-2
Biggest losses home0-3
Biggest losses away4-1
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home3
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away1
Clean sheet total1
Failed to score home3
Failed to score away1
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Derby goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home4
Goals for total away7
Goals for total11
Goals for average home0.70
Goals for average away1.00
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total1
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage27.27%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under13
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home10
Goals against total away15
Goals against total25
Goals against average home1.70
Goals against average away2.10
Goals against average total1.90
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total4
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total5
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage4.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage12.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total7
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage28.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over12
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under1
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under13

Bolton recent matches

Scores below are shown as Bolton goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
03 Nov 2026CharltonAway1–0Won
31 Oct 2026Bristol CityHome2–3Lost
23 Oct 2026MiddlesbroughHome1–5Lost
17 Oct 2026SouthamptonAway0–0Draw
13 Oct 2026WolvesAway3–1Won
Bolton detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Bolton performance

Fixtures played home7
Fixtures played away6
Fixtures played total13
Wins home2
Wins away2
Wins total4
Draws home0
Draws away2
Draws total2
Losses home5
Losses away2
Losses total7
Biggest streak wins2
Biggest streak draws1
Biggest streak losses4
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest wins away1-3
Biggest losses home1-5
Biggest losses away4-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away4
Biggest goals against home5
Biggest goals against away4
Clean sheet home1
Clean sheet away2
Clean sheet total3
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total1
Penalty scored percentage100.00%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total1

Bolton goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home9
Goals for total away9
Goals for total18
Goals for average home1.30
Goals for average away1.50
Goals for average total1.40
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total5
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage26.32%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total2
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage10.53%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage15.79%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total3
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage15.79%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over6
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under11
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under12
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under13
Goals against total home15
Goals against total away11
Goals against total26
Goals against average home2.10
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total2.00
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total5
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total1
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage4.00%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total4
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage16.00%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage4.00%
Goals against minute · 61-75 · total5
Goals against minute · 61-75 · percentage20.00%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total8
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage32.00%
Goals against minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals against minute · 91-105 · percentage4.00%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over10
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over7
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under7
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over2
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under11
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under12

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Derby predictions and analysis, Bolton match tips, or more Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.