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Cardiff vs Watford Prediction

Betting tips and match analysis for Championship, . Compare the available win probabilities, goal markets, recent form and head-to-head record below.

This match has finished. The page retains its pre-match prediction alongside the recorded result.

Record updated: .

Championship

Cardiff badge Cardiff
VS

Final result5–1

Cardiff City Stadium

Match Finished

Watford badge Watford
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : Cardiff or drawSelection confidence: 90%
45%
HOME WIN
CardiffProbability
45%
DRAW
DrawProbability
10%
AWAY WIN
WatfordProbability
GOALS MARKETNot suppliedTotal goals

Match prediction and betting tips

Predicted winner
Cardiff
Betting advice
Double chance : Cardiff or draw

Team strengths and match probabilities

FactorCardiffWatford
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack63.0%38.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson85.0%15.0%
H2H85.0%15.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total68.8%31.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Cardiff

Recent form (last 5): L D L W L

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Watford

Recent form (last 5): L W L L L

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cardiff 1–1 Watford (14 Jan 2025)
  2. Watford 1–2 Cardiff (29 Dec 2024)
  3. Watford 0–1 Cardiff (03 Feb 2024)
  4. Cardiff 1–1 Watford (07 Oct 2023)
  5. Watford 1–3 Cardiff (19 Apr 2023)
  6. Cardiff 1–2 Watford (02 Nov 2022)
  7. Cardiff 1–2 Watford (13 Mar 2021)
  8. Watford 0–1 Cardiff (05 Dec 2020)
  9. Cardiff 1–5 Watford (22 Feb 2019)
  10. Watford 3–2 Cardiff (15 Dec 2018)

Cardiff recent matches

Scores below are shown as Cardiff goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026BlackburnAway1–2Lost
19 Sep 2026CharltonHome3–1Won
12 Sep 2026BoltonAway0–1Lost
08 Sep 2026Stoke CityHome1–1Draw
05 Sep 2026PortsmouthAway0–2Lost
Cardiff detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Cardiff performance

Fixtures played home4
Fixtures played away5
Fixtures played total9
Wins home1
Wins away0
Wins total1
Draws home3
Draws away1
Draws total4
Losses home0
Losses away4
Losses total4
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws3
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home3-1
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home3
Biggest goals for away2
Biggest goals against home2
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home0
Failed to score away2
Failed to score total2
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Cardiff goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home7
Goals for total away4
Goals for total11
Goals for average home1.80
Goals for average away0.80
Goals for average total1.20
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total2
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals for minute · 31-45 · percentage18.18%
Goals for minute · 46-60 · total1
Goals for minute · 46-60 · percentage9.09%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total3
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage27.27%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage9.09%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over7
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home5
Goals against total away9
Goals against total14
Goals against average home1.30
Goals against average away1.80
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage28.57%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total3
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage21.43%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage7.14%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over5
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under4
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Watford recent matches

Scores below are shown as Watford goals first, followed by the opponent’s goals.

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10 Oct 2026BurnleyHome0–4Lost
18 Sep 2026Bristol CityAway0–1Lost
12 Sep 2026Stoke CityHome1–2Lost
08 Sep 2026PrestonHome2–1Won
05 Sep 2026West BromAway0–1Lost
Watford detailed team and goal statistics

Saved provider statistics used for this prediction. Goal thresholds here describe this team’s goals scored or conceded, not combined match totals.

Watford performance

Fixtures played home5
Fixtures played away4
Fixtures played total9
Wins home2
Wins away0
Wins total2
Draws home1
Draws away1
Draws total2
Losses home2
Losses away3
Losses total5
Biggest streak wins1
Biggest streak draws2
Biggest streak losses2
Biggest wins home2-1
Biggest losses home0-4
Biggest losses away2-0
Biggest goals for home2
Biggest goals for away1
Biggest goals against home4
Biggest goals against away2
Clean sheet home0
Clean sheet away0
Clean sheet total0
Failed to score home1
Failed to score away3
Failed to score total4
Penalty scored total0
Penalty scored percentage0%
Penalty missed total0
Penalty missed percentage0%
Penalty total0

Watford goals scored and conceded

Goals for total home6
Goals for total away1
Goals for total7
Goals for average home1.20
Goals for average away0.30
Goals for average total0.80
Goals for minute · 0-15 · total2
Goals for minute · 0-15 · percentage25.00%
Goals for minute · 16-30 · total3
Goals for minute · 16-30 · percentage37.50%
Goals for minute · 61-75 · total1
Goals for minute · 61-75 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals for minute · 76-90 · percentage12.50%
Goals for minute · 91-105 · total1
Goals for minute · 91-105 · percentage12.50%
Goals for under over · 0.5 · over5
Goals for under over · 0.5 · under4
Goals for under over · 1.5 · over2
Goals for under over · 1.5 · under7
Goals for under over · 2.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 2.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 3.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 3.5 · under9
Goals for under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals for under over · 4.5 · under9
Goals against total home9
Goals against total away5
Goals against total14
Goals against average home1.80
Goals against average away1.30
Goals against average total1.60
Goals against minute · 0-15 · total3
Goals against minute · 0-15 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 16-30 · total4
Goals against minute · 16-30 · percentage30.77%
Goals against minute · 31-45 · total2
Goals against minute · 31-45 · percentage15.38%
Goals against minute · 46-60 · total3
Goals against minute · 46-60 · percentage23.08%
Goals against minute · 76-90 · total1
Goals against minute · 76-90 · percentage7.69%
Goals against under over · 0.5 · over9
Goals against under over · 0.5 · under0
Goals against under over · 1.5 · over3
Goals against under over · 1.5 · under6
Goals against under over · 2.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 2.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 3.5 · over1
Goals against under over · 3.5 · under8
Goals against under over · 4.5 · over0
Goals against under over · 4.5 · under9

Goal markets and betting-tip context

No goals selection is currently recorded for this fixture. The available team form and scoring data can still help explain the match outlook.

Over 1.5 goals requires at least two total match goals; over 2.5 requires at least three. Both teams to score (BTTS) is a separate market: each side must score. A high total-goals estimate alone does not establish a BTTS tip, and not every market has a prediction for every fixture.

More team and league analysis

Explore Cardiff predictions and analysis, Watford match tips, or more Championship predictions for upcoming fixtures and recent results.

Predictions are statistical estimates. Recent form and head-to-head results provide context, but do not guarantee the outcome.